Superior

Author Topic: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way  (Read 672 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

heatmap

  • Mature Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 333
  • Thanked: 152 times
lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« on: March 04, 2018, 07:36:25 PM »
what is the maximum number of times a number will not repeat within that period of spins
 

kav

  • www.Roulette30.com
  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2236
  • Thanked: 1177 times
  • Gender: Male
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2018, 07:42:21 PM »
It's hard to say.

For example the probability for a number to sleep 300 spins is 0,027%

1-number bet
Spins      Probability % to...
      ...hit at least once   ...hit exactly once   ...hit more than once   ...sleep all spins

1      2.7027027027026946   2.7027027027026946   0   97.2972972972973
2      5.3323593864134295   5.259313367421476   0.07304601899195351   94.66764061358657
3      7.8909442678617125   7.675754644344857   0.21518962351685555   92.10905573213829
4      10.380378206568153   9.95773575482576   0.42264245174239257   89.61962179343185
5      12.802530146931161   12.110759701815114   0.6917704451160471   87.19746985306884
6      15.159218521338431   14.140130246443597   1.019088274894834   84.84078147866157
7      17.452212615356316   16.05095865812516   1.4012539572311553   82.54778738464368
8      19.683233896022358   17.848170245328365   1.8350636506939928   80.31676610397764
9      21.85395730423795   19.53651067394051   2.317446630297443   78.14604269576205
10      23.96601251223153   21.12055207993569   2.845460432295841   76.03398748776847
11      26.020985147036086   22.604698982850085   3.416286164186001   73.97901485296391
12      28.020417980899964   23.993194006366675   4.027223974533289   71.97958201910004
13      29.96581208952429   25.29012341211623   4.675688677408061   70.03418791047571
14      31.858627978996594   26.499422452612432   5.359205526384162   68.1413720210034
15      33.70028668226696   27.624880549055437   6.075406133211526   66.29971331773304
16      35.492170825989476   28.670146299560233   6.822024526429242   64.50782917401052
17      37.235625668530304   29.638732323194027   7.596893345336277   62.764374331469696
18      38.93196010992137   30.534019945039315   8.397940164882055   61.06803989007863
19      40.582447674518086   31.359263727337677   9.22318394718041   59.417552325481914
20      42.188327467098674   32.117595851611846   10.070731615486828   57.811672532901326
21      43.750805103123035   32.81203035651156   10.938774746611472   56.249194896876965
22      45.271053613849446   33.4454672359809   11.825586377868547   54.728946386150554
23      46.75021432698864   34.02069640220169   12.729517924786947   53.24978567301136
24      48.18939772355652   34.54040151762899   13.648996205927524   51.81060227644348
25      49.58968427156849   35.00716370029966   14.58252057126883   50.41031572843151
26      50.95212523720178   35.42346510646539   15.528660130736384   49.04787476279822
27      52.27774347403416   35.79169239447438   16.48605107955978   47.72225652596584
28      53.56753419095216   36.11414007370388   17.45339411724828   46.43246580904784
29      54.8224656993048   36.393013742226685   18.429451957078115   45.1775343006952
30      56.04348013986413   36.63043321677989   19.413046923084238   43.95651986013587
31      57.23149419013807   36.82843555849222   20.403058631645855   42.76850580986193
32      58.38739975256677   36.98897799771843   21.398421754848343   41.61260024743323
33      59.51206462411901   37.11394076122423   22.398123862894785   40.48793537588099
34      60.606333147791474   37.20512980486361   23.401203342927865   39.393666852208526
35      61.671026846499814   37.264279454791854   24.40674739170796   38.328973153500186
36      62.706945039837656   37.293054960162344   25.413890079675312   37.293054960162344
37      63.714865444166364   37.293054960162344   26.42181048400402   36.285134555833636
38      64.69554475648619   37.265813868153465   27.42973088833272   35.30445524351381
39      65.6497192225271   37.212804175595636   28.43691504693146   34.350280777472896
40      66.57810518948583   37.13543867834908   29.442666511136743   33.42189481051417
41      67.48139964382405   37.03507262786705   30.446327015956996   32.51860035617595
42      68.3602807345315   36.91300580971325   31.447274924818252   31.639719265468496
43      69.21540828224687   36.77048455176069   32.44492373048618   30.78459171775313
44      70.04742427461858   36.608703664355076   33.4387206102635   29.952575725381426
45      70.85695334827753   36.42880831465309   34.42814503362444   29.143046651722464
46      71.64460325778354   36.231895837276575   35.41270742050697   28.35539674221646
47      72.4109653318975   36.019017483356045   36.391947848541456   27.589034668102496
48      73.15661491752189   35.79118010997081   37.36543480755108   26.843385082478104
49      73.88211181164293   35.54934781193047   38.33276399971246   26.117888188357075
50      74.58800068159852   35.29444349777983   39.293557183818685   25.411999318401485
51      75.27481147398774   35.0273504118507   40.24746106213704   24.725188526012257
52      75.94305981252862   34.748913604125335   41.19414620840328   24.056940187471383
53      76.59324738516298   34.459941349621175   42.13330603554181   23.406752614837025
54      77.22586232069912   34.16120651895133   43.06465580174779   22.774137679300885
55      77.84137955527481   33.85344790166348   43.987931653611334   22.15862044472519
56      78.44026118891603   33.537371483908395   44.90288970500763   21.559738811083967
57      79.02295683245885   33.21365168194017   45.809305150518675   20.97704316754116
58      79.58990394509509   32.882932532902366   46.70697141219272   20.410096054904912
59      80.14152816279523   32.545828844307835   47.59569931848739   19.85847183720478
60      80.6782436178548   32.20292730357532   48.47531631427948   19.321756382145193
61      81.20045324980468   31.854787548942078   49.345665700862604   18.799546750195322
62      81.70854910791806   31.50194320303   50.206605904888065   18.291450892081937
63      82.2029126455419   31.144902870301678   51.05800977524022   17.7970873544581
64      82.6839150064732   30.7841510996032   51.89976390687   17.3160849935268
65      83.15191730359554   30.42014931295249   52.73176799064305   16.848082696404457
66      83.60727088998485   30.053336701694437   53.55393418829041   16.392729110015146
67      84.05031762268797   29.684131091108508   54.36618653157946   15.949682377312035
68      84.48139011937208   29.312929774519418   55.16846034485266   15.518609880627926
69      84.90081200803769   28.940110317927754   55.960701690109936   15.099187991962307
70      85.30889816998263   28.566031336144906   56.742866833837724   14.69110183001738
71      85.70595497619931   28.191033241384705   57.51492173481461   14.294045023800695
72      86.0922805173831   27.815438965233785   58.27684155214932   13.907719482616892
73      86.46816482772411   27.439554654892788   59.02861017283132   13.531835172275898
74      86.83389010265049   27.063670344551795   59.77021975809869   13.166109897349521
75      87.18973091068695   26.688060602735515   60.50167030795143   12.810269089313048
76      87.5359543995873   26.3129851564268   61.22296924316049   12.464045600412696
77      87.87282049689576   25.938689492750747   61.93413100414501   12.127179503104244
78      88.20058210508776   25.565405438976516   62.63517666611125   11.79941789491224
79      88.51948529143674   25.19335172156938   63.32613356986736   11.480514708563259
80      88.82976947274926   24.822734505001645   64.00703496774761   11.17023052725074
81      89.13166759510739   24.453747911008378   64.67791968409901   10.86833240489261
82      89.42540630875314   24.086574518951196   65.33883178980194   10.574593691246866
83      89.7112061382463   23.72138584793216   65.98982029031413   10.288793861753708
84      89.98928164802342   23.35834282127869   66.63093882674474   10.010718351976582
85      90.25984160348224   22.997596214000257   67.26224538948199   9.740158396517755
86      90.52308912771245   22.639287083798024   67.88380204391443   9.476910872287544
87      90.77922185399049   22.28354718618963   68.49567466780087   9.220778146009504
88      91.02843207415292   21.930499374292875   69.09793269986004   8.971567925847085
89      91.2709068829596   21.58025798379434   69.69064889916525   8.72909311704041
90      91.50682831855528   21.232929203611807   70.27389911494348   8.493171681444721
91      91.73637349913487   20.888611432742426   70.84776206639245   8.263626500865135
92      91.959714755915   20.54739562377277   71.41231913214223   8.040285244084995
93      92.17701976251189   20.209365613510933   71.96765414900096   7.822980237488104
94      92.38845166082238   19.874598441185995   72.51385321963639   7.611548339177617
95      92.59416918350286   19.54316465464523   73.05100452885762   7.405830816497138
96      92.79432677313793   19.21512860496555   73.57919816817238   7.205673226862082
97      92.98907469818825   18.890548729881676   74.09852596830657   7.010925301811756
98      93.17855916580478   18.56947782642033   74.60908133938446   6.821440834195222
99      93.36292243159384   18.251963313116946   75.1109591184769   6.637077568406162
100      93.54230290641563   17.938047482178817   75.60425542423681   6.4576970935843745
101      93.71683526029628   17.627767741946535   76.08906751834974   6.283164739703715
102      93.88665052353151   17.321156849994026   76.56549367353749   6.11334947646848
103      94.0518761850577   17.01824313719604   77.03363304786166   5.9481238149423055
104      94.21263628816425   16.719050723081075   77.49358556508318   5.787363711835757
105      94.36905152361926   16.423599722777148   77.94545180084211   5.630948476380738
106      94.5212393202782   16.13190644584752   78.38933287443068   5.478760679721798
107      94.66931393324366   15.84398358730358   78.82533034594007   5.330686066756344
108      94.81338652964247   15.559840411072573   79.2535461185699   5.186613470357524
109      94.95356527208457   15.27948292618838   79.6740823458962   5.046434727915428
110      95.08995539986607   15.002914055964787   80.08704134390129   4.910044600133932
111      95.22265930797779   14.730133800401795   80.492525507576   4.777340692022203
112      95.3517766239784   14.46113939206721   80.89063723191119   4.648223376021603
113      95.47740428278979   14.195925445687598   81.2814788371022   4.522595717210208
114      95.59963659947115   13.934484101674695   81.66515249779646   4.400363400528852
115      95.71856534002598   13.676805163805893   82.04176017622008   4.2814346599740185
116      95.83427979029555   13.422876231269896   82.41140355902566   4.165720209704451
117      95.94686682299026   13.172682825281642   82.77418399770862   4.053133177009736
118      96.05641096290945   12.926208510463482   83.13020245244597   3.943589037090553
119      96.16299445039837   12.68343501118313   83.47955943921524   3.8370055496016207
120      96.26669730309031   12.444342323032284   83.82235498005802   3.7333026969096843
121      96.36759737597977   12.208908819623563   84.15868855635621   3.632402624020234
122      96.4657704198722   11.977111354877529   84.48865906499466   3.5342295801277954
123      96.56129013825404   11.748925360965375   84.81236477728866   3.438709861745963
124      96.65422824262555   11.524324942067551   85.129903300558   3.3457717573744503
125      96.74465450633838   11.303282964102873   85.4413715422355   3.2553454936616273
126      96.83263681697788   11.085771140577434   85.74686567640045   3.1673631830221245
127      96.91824122732983   10.871760114697562   86.04648111263226   3.0817587726701747
128      97.00153200496956   10.66121953788601   86.34031246708355   2.9984679950304405
129      97.08257168051092   10.454118144835862   86.62845353567506   2.917428319489077
130      97.16142109455117   10.250423825231893   86.91099726931928   2.838578905448832
131      97.23813944334708   10.050103692264784   87.1880357510823   2.761860556652918
132      97.31278432325662   9.85312414805906   87.45966017519757   2.6872156767433797
133      97.38541177397941   9.659450946131608   87.7259608278478   2.6145882260205857
134      97.45607632062863   9.469049250993473   87.98702706963515   2.543923679371381
135      97.52483101466568   9.281883695003689   88.242947319662   2.4751689853343164
136      97.59172747372877   9.09791843258019   88.49380904114858   2.408272526271227
137      97.65681592038476   8.917117191869139   88.73969872851562   2.343184079615248
138      97.72014521983381   8.739443323970386   88.98070189586342   2.2798547801661875
139      97.78176291659506   8.564859849813516   89.21690306678154   2.218237083404939
140      97.8417152702006   8.393329504775446   89.44838576542514   2.1582847297994
141      97.90004728992491   8.224814781127444   89.67523250879746   2.099952710075092
142      97.95680276857559   8.0592779683963   89.89752480017928   2.043197231424414
143      98.01202431537084   7.896681191721385   90.11534312364945   1.9879756846291599
144      98.06575338792838   7.736986448286461   90.32876693964192   1.9342466120716149
145      98.11803032338977   7.580155641902275   90.5378746814875   1.8819696766102199
146      98.16889436870358   7.4261506158133   90.74274375289028   1.8311056312964302
147      98.21838371008997   7.274933183799331   90.94345052629063   1.7816162899100405
148      98.26653550170914   7.126465159640163   91.14007034206898   1.73346449829085
149      98.31338589355485   6.980708385009099   91.33267750854576   1.6866141064451514
150      98.35897005859391   6.837624755858722   91.52134530273518   1.6410299414060934
151      98.40332221917245   6.697176247360003   91.70614597181245   1.5966777808275507
152      98.44647567270833   6.559324937453722   91.88715073525461   1.5535243272916708
153      98.48846281668918   6.424033029070963   92.06442978761821   1.511537183310815
154      98.52931517299488   6.291262871077447   92.23805230191743   1.4706848270051172
155      98.5690634115626   6.160976977994411   92.40808643356819   1.4309365884374114
156      98.60773737341225   6.033138048546925   92.57459932486532   1.3922626265877516
157      98.64536609304976   5.907708983088568   92.73765710996119   1.3546339069502449
158      98.68197782026462   5.784652899949695   92.89732492031493   1.3180221797353735
159      98.71760004133856   5.663933150754714   93.05366689058384   1.2823999586614443
160      98.75225949968076   5.545513334752192   93.20674616492857   1.2477405003192432
161      98.7859822159056   5.429357312199951   93.35662490370565   1.214017784094399
162      98.81879350736762   5.315429216845748   93.50336429052187   1.1812064926323882
163      98.85071800716848   5.203693467542684   93.6470245396258   1.149281992831513
164      98.88177968265042   5.0941147790369765   93.78766490361345   1.1182203173495802
165      98.9120018533896   4.986658171964344   93.92534368142525   1.0879981466104023
166      98.9414072087034   4.881288982089913   94.06011822661348   1.0585927912966075
167      98.97001782468438   4.777972868825229   94.19204495585915   1.0299821753156184
168      98.997855180774   4.676675823054699   94.3211793577193   1.002144819226007
169      99.0249401758882   4.577364174302573   94.44757600158563   0.9750598241117908
170      99.05129314410745   4.480004597270391   94.57128854683705   0.9487068558925532
171      99.07693386994238   4.384564117773692   94.69236975216869   0.9230661300576194
172      99.10188160318718   4.2910101181056906   94.81087148508149   0.8981183968128189
173      99.12615507337131   4.199310341854532   94.92684473151678   0.8738449266286885
174      99.14977250382074   4.1094328981997785   95.04033960562096   0.8502274961792647
175      99.17275162533909   4.021346265712738   95.15140535962635   0.827248374660906
176      99.19510968951911   3.9350192956843095   95.2600903938348   0.8048903104808816
177      99.21686348169428   3.850421215003136   95.36644226669114   0.7831365183057225
178      99.23802933354038   3.7675216286059086   95.47050770493448   0.7619706664596222
179      99.25862313533658   3.686290521520875   95.5723326138157   0.7413768646634162
180      99.27866034789506   3.6066982605247278   95.67196208737033   0.7213396521049454
181      99.29815601416816   3.5287155954323013   95.76944041873585   0.7018439858318389
182      99.317124770542   3.452313660037694   95.8648111105043   0.6828752294580054
183      99.33558085782464   3.3774639727247298   95.95811688509991   0.6644191421753567
184      99.3535381319375   3.304138436763936   96.04939969517356   0.6464618680625092
185      99.37101007431755   3.2323093403125456   96.13870073400501   0.6289899256824415
186      99.38800980203871   3.1619493561333547   96.22606044590536   0.6119901979612944
187      99.40455007765928   3.093031541047623   96.31151853661166   0.5954499223407189
188      99.42064331880363   3.025529335136626   96.395113983667   0.5793566811963751
189      99.43630160748461   2.9594165607058076   96.4768850467788   0.563698392515392
190      99.45153669917421   2.894667421024986   96.55686927814922   0.5484633008257869
191      99.46636003162897   2.8312564988574405   96.63510353277152   0.5336399683710359
192      99.48078273347683   2.7691587547902405   96.71162397868659   0.51921726652317
193      99.49481563257206   2.7083495253776166   96.78646610719444   0.5051843674279493
194      99.50846926412416   2.648804521108707   96.85966474301546   0.49153073587584256
195      99.52175387860729   2.590499824210522   96.93125405439676   0.47824612139271166
196      99.53467944945574   2.533411886296527   97.00126756315922   0.46532055054425997
197      99.54725568055153   2.4775175258707898   97.06973815468073   0.4527443194484692
198      99.5594920135096   2.422793925697214   97.13669808781238   0.4405079864904025
199      99.5713976347661   2.369218630042976   97.20217900472312   0.42860236523390516
200      99.58298148247512   2.316769541804893   97.26621194067023   0.41701851752488067
 
The following users thanked this post: heatmap

heatmap

  • Mature Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 333
  • Thanked: 152 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2018, 09:26:08 PM »
Kav is it possible for a number to sleep 300 times then without hit within that 10000 spins is what you are saying?
 

kav

  • www.Roulette30.com
  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2236
  • Thanked: 1177 times
  • Gender: Male
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2018, 09:42:34 PM »
The numbers I posted are the probabilities that a number sleeps or hits etc. You can get valuable info there.
All I'm saying is that a number not hitting for 300 spins has probability 0,027%

Maybe I misunderstood your question. Repeat can have different meanings. It can mean the number "hitting again" or "hitting again immediately after he has hit". In fact the latter is the correct definition of a repeater.
 

cht

  • New
  • **
  • Posts: 93
  • Thanked: 36 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2018, 10:48:07 PM »
If I am not wrong,  I read somewhere it's 600+ spins.
 

heatmap

  • Mature Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 333
  • Thanked: 152 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2018, 04:42:19 AM »
@kav yes that answers my question but now i have another... for you and @cht... are those stats based on a single zero wheel?.... and @cht do you know if the information you have heard is from an american wheel or double zero wheel? and does anyone else see what im getting at?
 

Reyth

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4393
  • Thanked: 1615 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2018, 05:05:34 AM »
It's hard to say.

For example the probability for a number to sleep 300 spins is 0,027%

LOL you got me.  You put a percent sign.  I am showing the probability to be .9997641 or 0.0002359 give or take a bit for variance but with that percent sign it adds 2 more zeros, right?

10000 spins is kind of a small sample.  There is still room for quite a bit of variance before things start to level out according to what could be expected, so there is still alot of room for stranger quirks and such. 

Just my opinion from seeing worst sequences remain hidden until over 1M spins. ;)
« Last Edit: March 05, 2018, 05:10:47 AM by Reyth »
 

heatmap

  • Mature Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 333
  • Thanked: 152 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2018, 05:09:39 AM »
My question was to get a possible maximum limit so to say and also ask that what if you were the most unlucky person in the world and you happened to be the catch the 2%. You kept betting on one number 300 or 600 times?
 

MrPerfect.

  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 1914
  • Thanked: 1026 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2018, 08:57:27 AM »
Numbers are not reliable source of information.  Need to collect few more data points into spin. Direction, for example, ball type, dealer, rotor speeds, atm.pressure.
   With these data points you can choose target wisely, so no need to wait hundreds of spins for your numbers to hit.
 

shapecode99

  • New
  • **
  • Posts: 47
  • Thanked: 11 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2018, 09:18:24 AM »
atm pressure? LOL :o
 
The following users thanked this post: scepticus

kav

  • www.Roulette30.com
  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2236
  • Thanked: 1177 times
  • Gender: Male
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2018, 10:25:45 AM »
Reyth,
Yes, our numbers are close.

heatmap,
My numbers are for single-zero roulette
 

scepticus

  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 2585
  • Thanked: 577 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2018, 03:19:55 PM »
ATM  pressure  -atm (atmospheric pressure )  LOL
This discussion gives me food for thought on Dobbelsteen's Marty.
If his ten bets lose what  is he likely to have won prior to that happening ?
 
The following users thanked this post: Reyth

Real

  • Fighting the war on absurdity one foolish idea at a time.
  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 1693
  • Thanked: 284 times
  • Gender: Male
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2018, 05:48:45 PM »
what is the maximum number of times a number will not repeat within that period of spins

I have millions of live spins and simulators.  There is no max.  The longer you play, the larger the max will be.
 

MrPerfect.

  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 1914
  • Thanked: 1026 times
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2018, 06:53:42 PM »
 These who say " lol" to atm.pressure affect on game conditions are not players. Gamblers, may be and ignorant definitely.  I say IGNORANT. It's correct term to describe someone who not know and do not wanna know, right? 
 

MickyP

  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 1316
  • Thanked: 562 times
  • Gender: Male
Re: lets say i just got 10000 spins in some way
« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2018, 07:32:27 PM »
Ignorance can also be when a person believes something that is not rationally feasible.
How much change in atmospheric pressure is required to affect the spin and bounce of the ball. Do the air conditioners going on and off affect the ball? Maybe a crowded table of players breathing hot air over the table may influence the ball. Alcohol on the breath may cause the ball to become sticky and slow. Maybe smoking also has an impact on the ball.
As I said... mumbo jumbo everywhere.