As far as I remember Palaistis waited for a dozen to sleep for 4 or 5 spins and then bet on that dozen 4 or 5 consecutive spins until it appeared.
I think he didn't use a progression.
Well, here's is his post: Palaistis Dozen system
Yes I said that I am looking for a 4-5 spins no show of a dozen. That's if you are observing one roulette.
But if f you are making rounds in different tables, chances are you might find a dozen sleeping for 6 + spins. Whatever you come across that exceeds 4 spins, qualifies as trigger.
It doesn't have to be set at 4.
To simply see the merits of this system, all you have to do read down numbers from a score card and observe what happens after you see a dozen missing 4 spins.
- Does it continue to sleep for over 8 spins too often?
- Does the missing dozen show up far more frequently than not in the next 4 spins?
- When it doesn't show up in 4 playable spins after a trigger, how many times does it fail to show up consecutively
as new triggers develop?
I post a picture that highlights the dangers of a long progression. (Wiesbaden March 3 2016).
At the very beginning of the score card the 1st dozen came after 16 spins no show. (red square). That means that you'd have to use a 13 step progression after the 4 initial misses. 13 steps progression even for a dozen can be very hard on the B/R.
For the rest of the session, in all cases after 4 misses the dozen showed up within the 4 playable spins, except one.
18 hits and only one fail for the entire session.
If you study many sessions like this and you establish that the hits exceed the failures by an overwhelming majority, similar to the one I am showing, then you know you are on to something.
As long as you establish a specific progression, long enough to win most of the time, but short enough to avoid disasters, then you should be doing just fine.
Coupled with the fact that back to back (consecutive) failures are rare, any small increase in the starting chip in the next round, should recover whatever was lost in the previous trigger.
And if you have a huge B/R compared to the chip value you are betting, it would take at least a dozen consecutive failures to lose that B/R.
But this will never happen in the next trillion spins.