Let me start off by saying, that this is my first post in this forum. I've been reading a lot of interesting posts from this forum and I've been very much inspired by the different ideas and discussions. So I think it's time I gave something back to this community.
I've been working on a system for some weeks now and after some initial testing, I would like to view your comments and ideas about this.
Basically the system involves betting against a certain sequence or an event in Roulette. Let's say for instance, that RED, BLACK, RED, BLACK appear in the next 4 spins. After this event, we start to monitor the next 3 spins on our roulette table. For arguments sake, we say that the next 3 spins are RED, BLACK, RED. This event matches the three spins of the previous event. We now assume that the previous event will not appear again in this current event. So for the next spin we bet against BLACK, and place our money on RED.
Now, there is an "equal" chance that the ball will land on either RED or BLACK - Both have a 18/37 chance on a European Table. However, the chance of the previous event (RED, BLACK, RED, BLACK) appearing once again is only 1/16 - There are 16 different combinations for RED and BLACK in a four spin sequence. So by betting against this event, we should have a much greater chance on placing our bet successfully... Or?
So basically, the above bet goes as follows:
1. Wait for 4 consecutive spins and write down the RED/BLACK sequence for these spins. For instance, RED, BLACK, RED, BLACK
2. Wait for the next 3 consecutive spins and write down the RED/BLACK sequence.
3. If the next 3 spins are RED, BLACK, RED, you place your bet on RED - Betting against BLACK, which was the 4th spin in our first sequence.
4. If your next 3 consecutive spins do not match the previous 4 spins you start back from step 1.
As I wrote earlier, I've been doing some initial testing. My test results however, is not that impressive. For a 100 spin session I managed to bet on a sequence of 4 RED/BLACK and I've lost 2 out of 4 times. This doesn’t quite fit with my expectation, that a sequence of 4 RED/BLACK will only repeat 1 every 16th. spin.
My testing has been done on RNG wheels and numbers from random.org. So no live betting yet.
The above bet can be played with all evens, dozens and columns and even streets and six’s. The range of spins can also vary from 4 to 6 or down to 3, depending on how much patience you have.
For instance, betting against dozens in a 5 sequence spin could look like: 1st, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd, 1st. So we bet against this combination and if the ball lands on the following sequence in the next 4 spins - 1st, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd - We bet against the 5th spin - 1st - And place our bets on 2nd and 3rd.
I think this is a very interesting approach to roulette, since you are betting against a sequence of spins and not on a single spin, like betting just on BLACK or 2 Dozen. However, one could also argue that betting on the same 2 Dozen is also betting on a sequence of spins, since it would be very rare if a dozen was hit more than 6 times in a row.
But despite this, I would very much like to hear your constructive criticism and your ideas on how to further develop this approach and make it into a working system.
Thank you - James