Last Friday in the casino, I observed the 2nd dozen to not appear for 18 spins and appear only 2 times in 26 spins.

ReythI am not a mathematician but , leaving aside the zero, might this be calculated as;26 spins x 3 ( 3 dozens ) = 78Then calculates as 78 x 77 divided by 2 x 1 = 3003 which gives us a ballpark figure of the likliehood ?

Quote from: scepticus on October 06, 2015, 04:06:23 AMReythI am not a mathematician but , leaving aside the zero, might this be calculated as;26 spins x 3 ( 3 dozens ) = 78Then calculates as 78 x 77 divided by 2 x 1 = 3003 which gives us a ballpark figure of the likliehood ?Sorry Scep, I'm not the guy to ask that question. Since statisticians prove their theories by experimentation, I am happy "flipping that coin" 16M times and just bean counting the results. I think formulas tend to be approximations and since there are so many people that believe in the single spin theory, they need to be proven by experiment to make sure they are even correct.