Author Topic: The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.  (Read 2762 times)

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weird

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The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.
« on: July 31, 2015, 04:08:09 AM »

The 'essence' of a HG, lets debate.

Gentlemen,

Let say,

imagine that,
a man, a rigid system player,

keep a record of win and losing session,

when he in casino, and he play his system

continuously, for few hours straight,

and when he needs to go to toilet,

or meals, his assistance will, play for him,

Says, when he win,

his system produce, 'X' profit,

and when his system lose,

the system caused a few '-X' losses.

He realized that he cant win constantly,

except when he choose to leave the casino,

if he is lucky to hit early winning streaks of

winning session!

And now we look at his note of win and lose,

sessions played continuously,

after a stop at profit, and cut-losses.

=====================
win x  [restart immediately]
win x  [restart immediately]
lose=-xx [restart immediately, so on]
win x
win x
lose=-xx
win x
win x
lose=-xx
lose=-xx
win x
win x
lose=-xxx
win x
win x
lose=-xxx
lose=-xx
win x
win x
win x
win x
lose=-xx
win x
win x
lose=-xxx

16 winning session
9 losing session

thus we see that there were winning streaks and losing streaks as well.

The end result =losing overall.
----------------

So u will see,

that, there EVEN  a pattern of RANDOM!,

of win, and losing in sessions of plays.

in session of win, and lose!
-----------------

A RANDOM pattern of win, and lose, session.
----------------------

U must understand that winning sessions,

and losing sessions,

will be random,

and at the end will accordance,

to the LAW of HE,

third,probability, and,and...[whatever].

Since we cant PREDICT random,

to make use the UNPREDICTABILITY of random,

of SESSIONS of random of wins,

and losers, session?

So, the million dollar question,

is,

How we could take

advantage of win/lose RANDOM sessions, to win.?

=====================
ps:
Gentlemen,
With respect,
Thus u understand that this is looking from outside the box, or looking or betting outside the norm, the norm, which u cant win.

Thanks Gentlemen.
« Last Edit: July 31, 2015, 04:13:05 AM by weird »

Trilobite

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Re: The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.
« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2015, 07:32:13 AM »
First thing to do is create a game that allows you to go to the toilet, or to the bar, or take a meal break, or go home and come back sometime in the future, all without affecting the due course of play.

It's all random anyway so there is no strict continuity to worry about from session to session.

dobbelsteen

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Re: The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.
« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2015, 09:28:26 AM »
A W and L diagram shows that a W/L sequence is not random. It is like the ocean an infinite wave. Study the crests and the troughs and you can find the HG. Every L streak shall be followed by a W streak.

Trilobite

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Re: The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.
« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2015, 09:35:57 AM »
Every L streak shall be followed by a W streak.

That's just not true..

As weird pointed out, the wL registry can be equally as random as the game itself, which makes it another unreliable aspect.
« Last Edit: July 31, 2015, 09:44:07 AM by Trilobite »

Harryj

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Re: The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.
« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2015, 10:29:47 AM »
A W and L diagram shows that a W/L sequence is not random. It is like the ocean an infinite wave. Study the crests and the troughs and you can find the HG. Every L streak shall be followed by a W streak.

What Dobbel is trying to say here is that eventually every swing away from mean is followed by a swing toward mean. Maths trys to quantify these swings with STANDARD DEVIATIONS, but there is no proof that these calculations are more accurate than experienced empirical research.
Another point that is often overlooked, is that the waves produced by CHANCE, resemble Jagged peaks and ravines of a mountain chain, rather than the waves of the sea.

Swift once wrote,

"Big fleas have little fleas
upon their backs,To bite e'm.
And little fleas have littler fleas,

Each main swing away from, and toward,overall mean, is itself overlaid by similar peaks and ravines, from it's own mean. In simple terms. The fact that the current position is a deviation of 100 spins away from overall mean, and trending to continue in that direction.  Does not mean that the next few spins won't continue to produce jagged and coninuous changes of direction around that trend!!
Most progressions and systems only need one or two changes in direction to complete the win.

Harry

dobbelsteen

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Re: The 'Essence' of a HG, lets debate.
« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2015, 02:10:38 PM »
In a small sea the difference between the crests and the throughs is small and the wavelength short. On the ocean the crests are very high and the wavelength yery large. This feature has also the wave of a random row of the ECs. See my diagrams of a short run and long run sample. The diagrams show a clear picture. of this feature.
The hit and run method is based on the feature that after a W streak a L streak shall follow. The uncertainty is we do not know the length of a W and L streak.