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Author Topic: Testing results?  (Read 522 times)

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Jesper

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Testing results?
« on: February 12, 2017, 10:32:42 AM »


I did a simulation of betting 2/3 bets
on a NOZ. The bankroll was 30000 and
the table limit was 20000. This is
as it is on at least one casino on the net. The bankroll is 200 Euro then.

It was NO progression, just 1 chip on
4 double streets.

When we hear of methods running in
simulations for 10000 of thousend spins,
it may be true.

But the problem is, most of the spins is
recover spins from sessions lasting
very long, 10000 or more spins to
reach a break even or a small plus.

Here follow a small number of sessions.
The figures is spins to reach a plus.

It will tank a a point, but can "survive" very very long.

4
16
31
4
55
67
7
7
877
40
4
4
15274
10
4
14464
358
28
10
16
16
25
31
19
112
76
4
17185
4
19
4
10
163
4
4
4
898
3109
88
13
4
28
7
4
9
11677


 
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Reyth

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2017, 04:09:06 PM »
I wonder if 24 numbers is really better than 18?  Because the payout is so compromised in relation to the cost.  It seems like I am losing earning efficiency and thus even recovery efficiency so really I am losing statistical effficiency?
 

Jesper

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2017, 04:11:39 PM »
I wonder if 24 numbers is really better than 18?  Because the payout is so compromised in relation to the cost.  It seems like I am losing earning efficiency and thus even recovery efficiency so really I am losing statistical effficiency?

On a NOZ it does not matter 18nor 24, but with house advantages 18 is better.
 
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Reyth

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2017, 04:41:21 PM »
I wonder if 24 numbers is really better than 18?  Because the payout is so compromised in relation to the cost.  It seems like I am losing earning efficiency and thus even recovery efficiency so really I am losing statistical effficiency?

On a NOZ it does not matter 18nor 24, but with house advantages 18 is better.

Wow, thanks! :D
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2017, 11:06:12 AM »
The DTOP depends on the largeness of the number bet. The DTOP is much smaller of a 24 number bet than of a 18 number bet. The chance of a loss is much bigger when you play a long session. If both have the same loss percentage the 24 player lose more units.
 
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Reyth

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2017, 08:10:43 PM »
Wait, they don't have the same loss percentage though...
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #6 on: February 21, 2017, 09:52:10 AM »
Comparing two different cases you must have the same circumstances. For both long run events the los percentage is 2,7%
 

Sputnik

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #7 on: February 21, 2017, 04:27:10 PM »

 So what is the conclusion of your test, we all know all system fail, so what use is such test?

 Cheers
 

Jesper

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #8 on: February 21, 2017, 05:16:19 PM »

 So what is the conclusion of your test, we all know all system fail, so what use is such test?

 Cheers

The use is win!
 

Reyth

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #9 on: February 21, 2017, 05:35:27 PM »
How are you getting 5 bet when betting 4 DS?

That don't look like flat betting to me...
 

Jesper

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Re: Testing results?
« Reply #10 on: February 21, 2017, 09:26:40 PM »
Yeah! That is a thing which I do not endorse. I lost my normally care and went wild.. This time it went good, but my bankroll is not in suit for it. I did not even remember how I bet.
 
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