Wow, I didn't know there was another thread. Thanks for sharing that!
Here is where I am at right now:
SAME SAME SAME SAME SAME SAME = WIN (STREAK
OPPS OPPS OPPS OPPS OPPS OPPS = WIN (CHOP
SAME OPPS SAME OPPS SAME OPPS = WIN (TWOS
And the pattern that beats me is:
OPPS SAME SAME OPPS SAME SAME = LOSS (THREES
Which loses on every bet. I suspect the vulnerability is the 3 SAME results that starts on the 5th bet.
It looks like this (assuming starting out betting Player):B
B(1) = This is the first loss and I assume it is CHOP
so I remain on Player.
B(2) = This is the second loss and so I suspect TWOS
and so I remain on Player.
B(3) = It is clearly not TWOS
which leaves STREAK
and I switch to Banker.
P(4) = I get whipsawed and suspect CHOP
so I stay on Banker.
P(5) = I suspect TWOS
and stay on Banker.
P(6) = And the pattern has repeated but switched sides, running me around in a big circle.
This pattern appears to be THREES
. Well, at least THREES
is rarer than TWOS
Let's analyze bet #7. Normally, I would be betting Player suspecting STREAK
. However, I could throw a THREE protection bet on Banker instead.
The problem is that both patterns are 3 in length BUT they are different because THREES
has 6 elements whereas the STREAK
only has 3.
So it seems very clear that the 7th bet needs to be on Player, anticipating the more statistically probable STREAK
This starts the cycle over and the chances are:
1) 98.17% of it occurring at all
2) 99.97% of it repeating perfectly again
I guess this is the best I can hope for, stringing out the worst pattern as far as I can... :shrug: