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Author Topic: Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet  (Read 978 times)

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BetJack

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Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet
« on: August 06, 2016, 06:57:06 AM »
Hello Forum Friends

I have this lost memory of me
reading Somewhere
that
it is better to use
bet selection with BIG BETS
like odds 1/2 ;1/1 ;2/1
(one dozen or column; even Chance ; doble dozen or column)

because they have a little Drop Down!!!

and I have decide to do a little digging myself
trying to Found Out is this statement TRUE ?

BETJACK


 

BetJack

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Re: Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2016, 06:59:56 AM »

I Found ...
RNG Longest sleep

Found on some website(hxxp: turbogenius. webs. com/whatsthelongest. htm):

After 1 000 000 spins.  RNG

Location. . . Longest no show. . . Most repeated

Straight Up. . . . . . . 466. . . . . . . . . . 4
Splits. . . . . .      . . . 249. . . . . . . . . . 6
Streets. . . . . . .   . . 160. . . . . . . . . . 7
Corners. . . . . . .  . . 136. . . . . . . . . . 7             
Line. . . . . . . . . . .      89. . . . . . . . . . 9           
Dozen. . . . .  . . . . .   35. . . . . . . . . . 13
Column. . . . . . . . . .  38. . . . . . . . . . 12
Even Money. . . . . . . 24. . . . . . . . . . 19

so how to compare the found data to a uniform size measurement?
I Think to change from spins to cycle
then we gona have the following

Location      spins/cycle
Straight Up   466/36=12,94
Splits            249/18=13,83 
Streets         160/12=13,33
Corners        136/9 =15,11
Line                89/6 =14,83
Dozen            35/3 =11,66
Column          38/3 =12.66
Even Money   24/2 =12

So Every bet Location sleeps for the same number of cycles more or less ...
BUT
The number of bets in the cycle is different

Location        cycle
Straight Up     36
Splits              18 
Streets           12
Corners            9
Line                  6
Dozen              3
Column            3
Even Money     2

This also confirms that every Location have the Same variation
therefore
bet selection with BIG BETS (like odds 1/2 ;1/1 ;2/1)
 we gonna need less Units to fight it.

regards
BETJACK
 
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BetJack

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Re: Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet
« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2016, 12:52:03 PM »
Hello Forum Friends
today I take 10,000 numbers from random org
and  did  that test again

After 10 000  spins.  RNG                   
Location. . . Longest no show                   
                   
Straight Up        201           
Splits                 129           
Streets               85           
Corners              63           
Line                    70           
Dozen                 26           
Column               17           
Even Money        14           
                   
Location             spins    cycle       
Straight Up          201    36     5,58
Splits                    129    18    7,16
Streets                   85    12    7,08
Corners                  63    9      7   
Line                        70    6     11,66
Dozen                     26    3      8,66   
Column                   17    3      5,66
Even Money            14    2      7   
                                               7,47    sleep cycles average

my opinion is that because the number of SPINS is small ...
 WE can not see the true power of chance,
but it appeared for a moment in test  of CORNERs

BETJACK
 
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kav

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Re: Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet
« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2016, 01:02:14 PM »
Keep up the good work BetJack
 

BetJack

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Re: Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet
« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2016, 11:12:35 PM »
After 5 000  spins.  RNG                   
                   
Location. . . Longest no show                   
                   
Straight Up        234           
Splits                 109           
Streets                70           
Corners               58           
Line                     46           
Dozen                  20           
Column                22           
Even Money          9           
                   
Location             spins    cycle    sleep cycles     
Straight Up          234    36    6,5   
Splits                   109    18    6,05
Streets                  70    12    5,83   
Corners                 58      9    6,44   
Line                       46      6    7,66   
Dozen                    20      3    6,66   
Column                  22      3    7,33   
Even Money             9      2    4,5   
                                              6,37    sleep cycles average

BETJACK
« Last Edit: August 20, 2016, 11:14:17 PM by BetJack »
 
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dobbelsteen

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Re: Smaller Bet= Riskier Bet
« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2016, 10:45:03 AM »
From my point of view the risk does  not depend on a wager on corners, spit, dozens etc but only on the kind of the numberbet. A corner is a 4-numberbet, a split a 2-number bet an EC is a 18 number bet etc.
You have only a chance on a positive result with a system within a short run trial.
Every short run trial has a positve events. With hit and run you become an edge