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21
Roulette Systems / Re: Scep' s roulette strategies .
« Last post by scepticus on August 21, 2017, 01:03:16 PM »

Yes Dobbelsteen my initial explanation of the block was poor but I have already admitted that, I should have just posted the block idea and left it at that  .I am still puzzled as to why members cannot understand it ,. No one explained it to me -  and I am no maths geek . My recent attempts have gained some interest so it seems that some do not agree with you that it does not have value.
As for my being aggressive .I still am " aggressive " to those who demean not only myself but demean Method playing per se.   Why should bullying go unanswered ? The anonymous "admin " deleted one part of a post I  made  to you but I cannot remember what the "offending" part was. I can only think that it was in response to something you said that I objected to. For example ,I took objection to you asking me to  write a paper  and saying that it was " childishly simple ". This seemed to imply that I was incapable of writing a paper. 
You think  my blocks have no value while I think your 10 spin Marty is a poor method. So let us leave it there
, I do respect you Dobbel  and any others in the forum  - even Real and Mr Perfect -who contribute their ideas here, It is the rubbishing of others and the refusal to accept that , in essence, w are all just guessing that I object to. , THAT is a disservice to newbies,
22
Casino Lounge / Re: A message for thanks to Charles win3million
« Last post by MrPerfect. on August 21, 2017, 12:58:27 PM »
Duncan,book is good... it does exactly what it clamps,  it teach to spot bias. If you find one,read it.
    Whatever you wanna play there, book will help you. If it's vb, book will call your attention to specific parameters that can decrease dispersion,  if it's bias, book will help you with data collection,  data analysis,  escaping huge part of " random fluctuations"..  in fact there will be no more "random" for you.
    To system player this book could teach " bet selection", if you bet on positive numbers, many whatever systems can actually work...  you will learn how to design systems for specific wheel you gonna play ( book doesn't teach that, but provide enough info for self study).
   In short , it's just a foundation,  required entry level knolidge ( ability) to be suxsessful roulette player.
23
Casino Lounge / Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Last post by dobbelsteen on August 21, 2017, 12:44:36 PM »

A very long time ago i have developed the next system.
Suppose the last numbers are : 16 -31- 24-5. Sceps notification is 2-3-2-1. Once in 81 spins this row repeat. The chance on a repeater is very smal. Now I bet that this will not happens. Now you have to bet  two dozens. The first step on 2-3 (one unit), second step 1-3 (3 units), third step 1-2 (9 units) and the fourth step. 1-3 (27 units). Every hit of every step give a win of one unit. The final risk 80 units.

Basically it is a 24 number bet. DTOP is very small. That means that after about 120 spins you reach the point of nearly almost a loss session.

Sometimes I use this system after a virtual 2 steps loss. The risk is minimized to 8 units .
24
Casino Lounge / Re: A message for thanks to Charles win3million
« Last post by Trilobite on August 21, 2017, 10:36:25 AM »

I have Real's book in hard cover.
Sputnik is right. It deals specifically with wheel defect spotting, with an adjunct to data collection and how to apply it.
There is not much in the book that can help system players other than an awareness of bias and its possibilities.

As for CEH, he was a criminal minded thief and con artist from the start, and in the end he stole many peoples money as was expected.

If you are winning with what you think was his system, then you have in fact conjured up your own system that for now is winning, nothing more. Be grateful you have what you have but don't credit Charles as he is undeserving.
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Casino Lounge / Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Last post by dobbelsteen on August 21, 2017, 09:31:14 AM »
Scep I have no idea what you mean with paired spins or particular doubles. Are these a kind of triggers?
26
Roulette Systems / Re: Scep' s roulette strategies .
« Last post by dobbelsteen on August 21, 2017, 09:09:31 AM »
Scep I have read the first 10 pages of your blog. I do not stand alone in my feelings that your approach of the 9 block is very poor. You were not always very friendly for your opponents. I did not participate in that discussion. When I write that I DOUBT the value of the  block theory , i did not write it is false.

Your description of my example I do not understand. Your idea is very complex. Programming this system is very difficult. Every system has a DTOP. My careful estimate is more than 1000 spins. That means that the result of an session is unpredictable.

27
Casino Lounge / Re: A message for thanks to Charles win3million
« Last post by Duncan on August 21, 2017, 07:13:35 AM »
As for the book on bias of REAL ... you can t find any more copies because all the copies were burned in the warehouse ( it was a PDF). LoL
Isn t it right REAL?
28
Casino Lounge / Re: A message for thanks to Charles win3million
« Last post by Duncan on August 21, 2017, 07:12:09 AM »
real @
Until the bet will lose.... i have no reason to not play it.

Charles was Boffin about 3 years before making the win3million site.
The bofins bet is a loser ... its no better than betting randomly.
Charles( or whatever his real name is) was a full time randomness researcher.
He found the ACETF bet later and created the win3million site.
29
Roulette Systems / Re: Merge Street
« Last post by Reyth on August 21, 2017, 06:59:46 AM »
Oh, I just realized that you probably mean what are the chances of the wheel blowing through these levels directly?

Level 2 is 1069 in 16000000 which is 1 in 14967 coups (I missed this by 8 spins today!)
Level 3 is 10 in 16000000 which is 1 in 1.6M coups
Level 4 I cannot demonstrate a failure in

Of course our main threat is not successive direct blow-thrus but successive failures that are relatively close together.  That is why it is so important to make sure the base hit rate is as high as possible and that we work to lock in our profits (go up in the recovery levels) as much as we can.

There is a progression length that will no longer fail on Level 3 and which would represent a significant statistical improvement in the overall safety of the system -- I haven't checked to see what that is yet.

Technically it shouldn't fail on Level 3 because the max expected successive loss is 124 spins and 124/42=2.95 (less than 3); I boot-strapped the above stats and so I think our odds are a bit better than what I estimated.

One very strong thing in our favor is that we are NOT exposed to the Reverse Engineering CurseTM because we are not using triggers and our bet selection is 100% static; this minimizes our risk of seeing the very most severe (once or never expected in a lifetime) negative events.

Triggers -- This accelerates the appearance of the worst sequences because we are spinning the wheel in a greater proportion to our ability to gain the payout.

Variable Bet Selection -- This causes us to find the very worst possible sequences on an exponential scale because we are continually sifting through the worst sequences, effectively making them common because of our negatively focused bet choices.

I have tried so hard to beat the RECTM and I was caught in a mental trap of thinking I could "out clever" the statistics but as inerrantly as the sun rises every day, the REC always manifests itself with worse statistics than should be expected; the RECTM is actually statistics functioning properly!


In the case of playing hot numbers, I don't think we necessarily gain an advantage in statistics that way (Rinad has said as much & so far that is my experience too) but if Mr. Perfect & Mr. J have found a way to do this through a properly focused history analysis, it truly has to be an invaluable way of betting.

I wonder if Rinad's true advantage is in his ability to recover when down, using a naturally strong betting system?



Here is a video talking about the session output below:

https://youtu.be/qQhdQAjeD7A

All-time high 526.2
User resets session
 2 hits on spin 37  524.8
User drops to level 2  524.8

User resets session
 3 hits on spin 2  524.96
 1 hits on spin 3  525.16
 1 hits on spin 17  524.84
User notes recovery profit goal 524.84
User resets session
 2 hits on spin 6  525.48
 0 hits on spin 20  526.12
User moves up to Level 1
User resets session
 2 hits on spin 2  526.32
All-time high 526.32
User resets session

30
Roulette Systems / Re: Merge Street
« Last post by Reyth on August 21, 2017, 06:05:02 AM »
The 99.18% is the odds of getting a hit at some point in the progression; so SOME form of income will be coming back in.

Recovery levels are only an increase in the unit size and so the odds don't change.  Usually when we go into a recovery level, there has been some amount of negative variance which normally will help us obtain hits within the recovery progressions.

I will attach the software to this post.
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