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Casino Lounge / Re: Spin history as a tool.
« Last post by MickyP on Today at 11:17:43 AM »
There are patterns in spin histories that can be recognized, studied & exploited.  Probability is not a myth and it applies to every spin, AS WELL AS spin histories AND future spins.

Yes, spin histories can help you to discover how outcomes are distributed, and therefore help you to select an appropriate probability model. But they can't help in predicting the next SEQUENCE of outcomes, or the next single outcome. A sequence implies ORDER, and the probability model you use, even if correct, cannot tell you anything about the order of the outcomes; a probability model or distribution will only tell you that there will so much of X, Y, and Z, not the order that they come in. To predict that you need causes, and even VB can't help to predict a future sequence of outcomes, only the next outcome.

Now that makes sense.  Spin history does assist in narrowing down the probability of a hit within X number of spins. Not an exact science but using spin history can direct you to a probable hit within your bet selection.
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" with an adequate capital to resist the bank "
And what amount of capital would that be ?
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Casino Lounge / Re: Spin history as a tool.
« Last post by MrPerfect. on Today at 10:49:05 AM »
Finally!!! At least someone understand that simplistic probability model need to be updated in order to reflect reality of every individual situation. Bravo Mike. 
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Roulette Systems / Re: Scep' s roulette strategies .
« Last post by scepticus on Today at 10:48:26 AM »
Sputnik and kav
Point taken but I don’t think that it really applies in this case,
A ) Mike either posted or did not post. This could be ascertained by  trawling through past posts- which neither of us are prepared to do.
b) His view that there can be no more than  81 Trebles/Threesomes/ Sets of three in four spins of the wheel can be verified by using maths.
Consider .
 Taking any 3 spins from the 4 spins gives 4 DIFFERENT sets of 3 spins. Each of these has 3x3x3 different Sets of 3 .
So 4x3x3x3= 108 different Sets of 3.
So Mike is clearly wrong so I think that I am entitled to be “ stubborn” in refusing to accept his “ Tuition “.
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Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Talos_Dump
« Last post by Frequency on Today at 10:47:38 AM »
If he reveals his system in a public forum like this, it would only takes some few days until the casinos will be aware of it and change the game drastically, and you would not be a able to earn any life-changing amount of money during that short period of time anyways. So he should of course not reveal his system, if it's really as effective as he describes it is.

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Roulette Systems / Re: Law of Third Idea!
« Last post by edgefounder on Today at 10:47:08 AM »
I meant to attack hot numbers. The numbers that get spung twice or more, on those numbers we bet. And when they get hit we remove them from the betting list so our number of bets decrease. And when we start with 9 bets we stop betting when we have hit 5 numbers.
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Casino Lounge / Re: Spin history as a tool.
« Last post by Mike on Today at 10:35:40 AM »
There are patterns in spin histories that can be recognized, studied & exploited.  Probability is not a myth and it applies to every spin, AS WELL AS spin histories AND future spins.

Yes, spin histories can help you to discover how outcomes are distributed, and therefore help you to select an appropriate probability model. But they can't help in predicting the next SEQUENCE of outcomes, or the next single outcome. A sequence implies ORDER, and the probability model you use, even if correct, cannot tell you anything about the order of the outcomes; a probability model or distribution will only tell you that there will so much of X, Y, and Z, not the order that they come in. To predict that you need causes, and even VB can't help to predict a future sequence of outcomes, only the next outcome.
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Roulette Systems / Re: Scep' s roulette strategies .
« Last post by scepticus on Today at 10:34:51 AM »
Hi freewheel
I wasn't aware that I had posted a link. And, sorry, I don't know how to do it .
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Casino Lounge / Re: Spin history as a tool.
« Last post by MickyP on Today at 10:27:53 AM »
Point taken Mike. I was out of line but....No buts,  I apologise for degrading the discussion to a personal attack.
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Casino Lounge / Re: Spin history as a tool.
« Last post by Mike on Today at 10:21:30 AM »
Micky,

Please try to attack the message and not the messenger. The fact that you say I'm "nit picking" shows that you haven't really grasped the distinction I'm making between "prediction" of future spins and "influencing" them. And no, I don't think all system players are morons, some highly intelligent people believe that systems work. These are not easy topics to understand, and probability theory is notorious for even experts making mistakes.

The proof of the pudding is in the eating. Take any trigger based on spin history and see if the results are any different from random selections. You'll find that they are not. Palestis has tried to argue in another thread that triggers do a make a difference, but his argument was flawed because it was based on insufficient data from Wiesbaden.
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