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11
Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Bankroll Management
« Last post by scepticus on Yesterday at 04:30:17 PM »
Oh ! Well !  If you must ! ;D
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Casino Lounge / Re: A message for thanks to Charles win3million
« Last post by Esenin on Yesterday at 03:41:19 PM »

Hello
Thanks for that forum.

Guys please do not call this scam,  no one wants to sell anything.
I completely not agree that he abuse people and dont see here that somebody working as a team. He trying guide in right direction. I think it is not good to give a bad name without knowing the truth.
We all trying here find some proper way to beat edge.
Duncan is very nice guy with kind heart,
 i talked with him. To be honest I've met in forums such people as he maybe couple members.

Cheers.

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Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Bankroll Management
« Last post by Reyth on Yesterday at 03:00:58 PM »
Can I answer too??

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Questions and Answers / Re: "Hit & Run".....until when?
« Last post by scepticus on Yesterday at 02:20:31 PM »


LOL  !
Mc Coy. My bets ARE " informed "  !

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Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Bankroll Management
« Last post by scepticus on Yesterday at 02:16:15 PM »

Thanks  Mc Coy
As you say, though, these are pre-chosen  Hot / Cold numbers and your charts are for illustration only.  .
Hot and Cold numbers  have been discussed periodically in the forum and, logically, Hot numbers is preferable to Cold numbers . Within any  37 spins there will be Hot numbers so we KNOW that there will be Hot numbers WITHIN those 37 spins. The problem is to work out a profitable method of exploiting this INFORMATION.
Hopefully your future  analyses  will arouse much interest in the forum.
Incidentally , what do you think of Mathematicians' belief that we cannot use past winning numbers because the wheel " has no memory "  ?
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Questions and Answers / Re: "Hit & Run".....until when?
« Last post by mr j on Yesterday at 01:55:40 PM »

  "I think Mr J named this thread as he did as a kind of mockery aimed at those who believe that it *does* have merit" >> Its a gift I have.
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Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Bankroll Management
« Last post by MrPerfect. on Yesterday at 12:45:17 PM »
Nice charts, Bro. 
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Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Bankroll Management
« Last post by McCoy on Yesterday at 12:20:28 PM »
Why, in the first chart, do the up-down movements of the two betting methods not match?  Is the horizontal axis the same?

Yes there is only one horizontal axis. The movements of the 2 plots do track each other up to a point but it's easier to see this if you take logarithms of the banks. This compresses the numbers and is a useful technique when the scales or ranges are very different.



Quote
Awesome work btw!  I think you are on the right track with groups of hot numbers!  1500 spins, impressive! :D

Thanks but I'm only showing the results of the different staking plans here. I remain convinced that hot numbers are the way to go but as stated above, I chose the numbers for these plots only after knowing the results.

Quote
I am very interested to see a losing graph using both methods!  The key to a losing graph will be successive drawdowns.

I used the same set of spins but chose the numbers which result in losses, numbers 19-22.



Here is the result of betting on those numbers using the same staking plans. In this case because they are losing numbers I increased both banks to 4000 u which was the worst drawdown.



In this case the 2% plan comes off worst. This is consistent with the theory which says that in games with a negative expectation it's better to be 'bold' than 'timid'. No staking plan can save you in this case but perhaps chasing losses can keep you afloat for longer.
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Questions and Answers / Re: "Hit & Run".....until when?
« Last post by McCoy on Yesterday at 11:12:20 AM »
It really is dependent on the reasons a person disengages from the wheel; I think there is a such a thing as "blind hit and run" which is uninformed and "informed hit and run" which is statistically motivated.

Yes and it's only the 'uninformed' hit and run which I deny has any merit. If you are dealing with just an endless stream of 'random' outcomes then the points at which you stop or start can't have any effect on your profits. I think Mr J named this thread as he did as a kind of mockery aimed at those who believe that it *does* have merit.

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I previously explained WHY I moved tables. TO LOCK IN A PROFIT   !
I have also said we are at the mercy of randomness  at every spin. So just where is the contradiction?

From what Reyth has just written would you say that your hit and run is 'informed' or 'uninformed'? If it's informed then you are not at the mercy of randomness, but if it's uninformed then you *are* at the mercy of randomness in which case the point at which you quit is arbitrary and doesn't help to 'lock in a profit'. It would only lock in a profit if when you quit the outcomes were at the peak of a wave so playing on would result in giving back your gains. However if you knew when these peaks occurred then you are not at the mercy of randomness are you?
Hence the contradiction. I don't know how to explain it any more clearly so I hope you 'get it'.
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Casino Lounge / Re: Casinos are my bitches!
« Last post by MrPerfect. on Yesterday at 10:57:34 AM »
Yes, Scepticus,  your tread obviously generated more views,  people do not wanna work to achieve anything , crowd wants food,  drink and circus. And at least one of these your tread  satisfies in full. 
    It's OK,  if you find some of my posts rediculos,  just keep in mind that sometimes not info itself , but quolity of reader determines understanding. 
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