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Author Topic: SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS  (Read 502 times)

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Dane

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SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS
« on: June 01, 2017, 09:53:41 AM »
Just Google it! See similarities and compare charts. Surprising statistical facts combined in a crazy way!


 
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MrPerfect.

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Re: SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS
« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2017, 11:05:09 AM »
 How to use them? Could you make an example related to roulette?
 

Dane

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Re: SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS
« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2017, 02:29:34 PM »
Hello MrPerfect
To be honest I did not know exactly in which section I should post it. I found the subject in a Danish site on popular science. So anyone interested in the use/misuse of  statistics might learn not to draw conclusions on the wall unless there is a truly logical connection or unity there. Tonight I am going to see Sgt. Pepper. And pepper did play a role in Alice in Wonderland. To combine these facts might be  funny or obvious to the mad hatter, but not to sane people in the real world.

Try to regard them as a warning against mad assumpsions. It should not be impossible to find an example related to roulette. GamblerĀ“s Fallacy has been mentioned more than often.
You might count to ten at one roulette table or other, say ten REDS.
At the neighbouring table ten red haired people might see ten red spins from the wheel there.  If we are supersticiuos and filled with Aberglauben, we might think that it might not be a coincidence.

 

MrPerfect.

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Re: SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2017, 06:32:54 PM »
Official science has a lot of these... look their " prove" for gravity existence or second "law" of thermodynamics.  Total bliss! 
 

Dane

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Re: SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS
« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2017, 06:33:39 AM »
Total bliss!  :)
As a matter of fact BLISS was mentioned yesterday in the documentary celebrating Sgt. Pepper 50 years.
It was used to describe one aspect of the effects of transcendental meditation as taught by Maharishi to The Beatles and others. The translation into Danish was poor: "Rest".  :P
With such translations it is no wonder that there is room for alternative "truths" within you without you.
« Last Edit: June 02, 2017, 06:35:15 AM by Dane »
 

MrPerfect.

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Re: SPURIOUS CORRELATIONS
« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2017, 12:28:10 AM »
Dane,  l do not know where exactly truth is in this world... if we belive official science, huge part of everything is a dark energy, main part of the rest is a dark matter,  only tiny part of everything is our material world, and even from that we can perceive minuscule fraction. 
   In this conditions, while retaining human form and being limited by its more then humble capabilities,  anyone stating possession of absolute knolidge is a cretin.
    Only thing we can do in such a situation is to practice reasonable thinking. If something working as a fact, it means just the fact gained verification, not nesseserely that supporting theory is correct. Existence is composed of the facts, reality of supporting theories... not always reality reflects existence.