Royal Panda roulette

Author Topic: Positive Progression Analysis  (Read 3581 times)

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Reyth

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Re: Positive Progression Analysis
« Reply #60 on: October 08, 2017, 03:35:46 PM »
Hahah Dobble is a short run session expert! :D

"short term sessions do not have the features of a long term session..."
 

Sputnik

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Re: Positive Progression Analysis
« Reply #61 on: October 08, 2017, 03:36:51 PM »


One selection method and one progression - same as all other methods on this forum - is that good or bad?

Allow me to ask one question - if you have a three step marty 124 you need to win seven times to break even.
Everything above that is pure profits because one day you will lose all three attempts and wipe out all your profits

So my question?
How are you going to keep your winnings and not give them all back to the casino using one selection method with one progression

Assume you progression total cost is 300 units, then you need to win 300 units just to break even, what a waste of time and difficult to win that much before the progression fail or should i say the selection method fail or should i say both fail

I don't want to offend anyone i just find it boring reading the same old story over and over again.
One selection method and one progression

I play to win and keep my money and not give it all back to the casino, but i have never read any one explain how to do just that
It is naive to think that a selection method with one progression will make you a winner

This is one reason why all testing is a waste of time when you test one selection method with one progression
We know what will happen before it happens
You will get negativ results and the method will bust

So what do you all hope for, that the you will make so much money before the method fail so you can start over again, that will never happen or work in real life my opinion.
Many times i talk with others who say the same thing, the problem is not winning for weeks, the problem is when you lose you give all the money back to the casino or keep a tiny profit that is nothing comparing to how much you have been playing

I can easy illustrate this with one clear example

Try to win two session out of three on regular basis where the win target is equal or overcome the loss limit for one losing session

Cheers
« Last Edit: October 08, 2017, 03:43:42 PM by Sputnik »
 
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dobbelsteen

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Re: Positive Progression Analysis
« Reply #62 on: October 08, 2017, 03:51:01 PM »
Take your profit and run. In the short run every player has his winning events. Take a break and start again after a virtual loss. Only with a betting selection ,you can discover  virtual loss events.  Winn and loss events fluctuate as black and red events. In the short run mode there is  no equilibrium or one mean.
 
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Scarface

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Re: Positive Progression Analysis
« Reply #63 on: October 08, 2017, 07:42:54 PM »
Sputnik, I agree with everything you said here.  What do you think about betting a flat rate percentage?  Like 2 % of total bankroll.  If variannce is on your side, then bets can climb exponentially...but if you have a bad run, bets gradually lower to the table minimum.

The total potential losses would be minimum, while the potential gains could continue to increase on good runs.

I have not tested this, but thinking about the worse case red/black for 200 spins.  I think it's 135/65.  If we were betting on the losing side, gradually lowering the bet to 2% bankroll...the losses can not exceed a certain amount.  BUT if we were increasing wagers to 2% bankroll and we're on the winning side, the gains would be much more.

Losses on worse case < Gains on best case
 
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Real

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Re: Positive Progression Analysis
« Reply #64 on: October 09, 2017, 12:58:31 AM »
The progression/money management is the easiest part of gambling.  Too much time is wasted talking about it, and second guessing it.

If you have the edge, then (edge/expectancy) x (confidence level) = your bank to bet ratio. 

In a pinch, just bet one percent of your bankroll at each spin.

If you don't have an edge, then...good luck.
 
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