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Roulette Systems / Re: Cluster DS Randomization
« Last post by MickyP on Today at 05:22:34 PM »
I have abandoned the second test at 160 spins due to risk vs reward. I was up 69 units but sitting at a table for 160 spins for 69 units is not worth my while.

This method is a slow grind so if anyone wants to try it, maybe on PC at home, I suggest testing it first.
This is clearly wrong .An EXPECTATION   is  NOT the same as a certainty. Some will disagree  !


This is another example of a term being used in the "everyday" sense when in this context it refers to a technical sense. This results in pointless arguments because people are using different definitions of the same term.

Your definition of "expectation" is something like one of the following :

expectation, outlook, prospect -- (belief about (or mental picture of) the future)
anticipation, expectation -- (anticipating with confidence of fulfillment)
expectation -- (the feeling that something is about to happen)

But actually, in this context, it should be :

arithmetic mean, first moment, expectation, expected value -- (the sum of the values of a random variable divided by the number of values)

About HE if the payout is 1:36 how does that change for you ?
“ The Edge “ Dobbelsteen , is the EXPECTATION that whoever has a mathematical advantage will  profit over any lengthy number of spins.
The argument that the casino has a “ House Edge “ is based on the mathematical advantage it has over the Bettor .
In the case of your 10 bets of an EC ,for example, the calculation is that over 36 spins you will win 18 times and lose 18 times so no profit . As there are 37 numbers on the table you  now must allow that the zero will win it  so you lose ½ of a point. -0.5x37 = -1.35% .  So the casinos theoretical Edge over you is 1.35%
Too many think that this means that the casino MUST win in “The Long Run” .This is clearly wrong .An EXPECTATION   is  NOT the same as a certainty. Some will disagree  !
Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Red/Black Odd/Even bets
« Last post by Scarface on Today at 02:35:19 PM »
I'd rather do the opposite, and parlay, and only risk 1 unit for a chance to win 8.  The odds of winning a parlay is the same.

Worse case for 8 losses in a row with Martingale 1-2-4 progression for 8 rounds is -56 units

Worse case for 8 losses in a row with parlay positive progression is -8 units

Best case if you win 8 rounds in a row with Martingale is 1 unit a round, so in 8 rounds you can only win 8 units

Best case if you win 8 rounds in a row on Parlay is 64 units

So in 8 rounds with a negative progression the most you can win is only 8 units...but you're risking up to 56 units of your own money.

But with the parlay bet, you can win up to 64 units best case scenerio, but you're risking only 8 units of your own money.

Also, you said after 2 losses raise wager so this will make potential losses way steeper than the examples I just gave. 

The odds are the same.  Got to look at risk vs reward  :)
Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Red/Black Odd/Even bets
« Last post by leowls on Today at 01:20:46 PM »
at such you would have stopped at BBBBB in which case you only lost 2 rounds...wait for a while for it to normalise or switch to another table. To make it safer you can wait for a virtual loss to occur before placing your bet.
Roulette Strategy Discussion / Re: Red/Black Odd/Even bets
« Last post by Rourke on Today at 01:06:03 PM »
I'm sorry... I think this will fail pretty quick. What happens if B-B-B occurs and you start betting on R and then you'll get B-B-B-B-B-B-B-B...?
Questions and Answers / Re: Blackjack...say what?
« Last post by Iain on Today at 12:20:11 PM »
Low cards remaining in the deck benefit the house, whereas high cards benefit the player. If they did remove all the fives and all the kings it wouldn't have much effect, but I am sure if they removed cards then they were high cards.

Card counting at online casinos is very difficult because they usually have 6-8 decks and the penetration is poor. I have even seen some casino's state in their T & C's that if you are suspected of card counting they will void all bets. That means if you were using any form of progressive betting they could claim you were card counting and void your winnings.

A stacked deck would only work if the casino knew no new players would join the table and none of the existing players would leave before the shoe was completed.
Easy...  all units you win devided by how many spins you played. You will know units per spin gain. Now look how many units you bet on every spin in average ...  devide your units per spin for how many units you bet on average. If you get something like 0.2 , mean you play with 20% edge.
20 Years???? I create players in weeks, they start to predict in hours!!!!  Face to face teaching..  my record is 30 min they to start to predict.
   Some people are misslead. ..
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