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Author Topic: Modifed Pendulum EC System  (Read 386 times)

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Reyth

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Modifed Pendulum EC System
« on: November 04, 2017, 06:25:25 AM »

This is an EC bet where we use the following progression:

1 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 = -91

The method is that we track both EC's of the same type and score each +1 for a hit and -1 for a miss.  Each EC will start at 10.  We always bet on the EC that has the HIGHEST score.

On the first spin we bet 1 unit on the EC of our choice.  Anytime the scores are equal we bet the current progression amount on the EC of our choice.

If we win a bet we move back one space in the progression.

This method will always gain a progression unit on chop. 

We can reset the progression on profit, or not.  If we reach 18 on the progression and our stop loss will still allow it, we can continue adding +2 to our bet until the stop loss is reached.  We can raise our stop loss as we gain profit, or not.

I am adding the following modification:

Recovery
1   91      91 <=== Stop loss to begin session
2   182      273
3   273      546
4   364      910
5   455      1365 <=== Bankroll required

Once a losing session is encountered, raise the unit size by 1.  Set a target goal of 75% of your total bankroll when the loss occurred on the previous level.  Set your stop loss for:

Current Balance-(Current Level*91).

EXAMPLE 1: You gain 50 units profit for a total balance of 1415 and then lose on Level 1.  Your bankroll is now 1324.  You set a target goal of 1393 and when you hit that bankroll amount, raise back up to Level 1.

EXAMPLE 2: From the previous example, you gain 40 units on Level 2 but then lose.  Your bankroll is now 1091. You drop to Level 3 and set a target goal of 1266 before raising back up to Level 2.  Once reaching Level 2, your target goal will be 75% of the difference between your current balance and 1415.

This method attempts to take advantage of the long-term EC trend, focusing on hot numbers.  It recognizes when the trend has changed and adapts.  It will only be defeated by VERY long and successive losing streaks from the cold EC; otherwise it recovers.

This can be grailed if we can discover a way to consistently avoid/minimize the cold EC streaks.



I added a money management system based on risking 273 units.  It has 4 stages:

1<*> Win 7 sessions of +140 units @ 1x unit size = +140
2<*> Win 7 sessions of +280 units @ 2x unit size = +420
3<*> Win 7 sessions of +420 units @ 3x unit size = +1260
4<*> Win 7 sessions of  +560 units @ 4x unit size = +2240

For a total of +4060 in 28 sessions.

After the first 2 sessions at Stage 1, any loss will still yield an overall profit and simply start over.
« Last Edit: November 12, 2017, 11:34:11 PM by Reyth »


 
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dobbelsteen

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Re: Modifed Pendulum EC System
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2017, 09:57:56 AM »
I do not understand everything. Pleas can you show a virtual example of about 15 spins. After then I can program the idea in Excel.
 

Reyth

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Re: Modifed Pendulum EC System
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2017, 06:20:43 PM »
#........H.....L....W/L.....Sub........Tot.....Comments
30.....11.....9.....L..........-1............-1..........We started betting Low.  Now we switch to High.
24.....12.....8.....W..........+2............+1..........We moved up 1 in the progression.  Now back to 1
31.....13.....7.....W..........+1............+2.....
14.....12.....8.....L..........-1............+1..........We move up 1 in the progression.
1.....11.....9.....L..........-2............-1..........Move up 1.
4.....10.....10...L..........-4............-5..........Scores are equal, I choose to stay High.
0.....10.....10.....L..........-6............-11..........Zero has no effect on the scores.
28.....11.....9.....W..........+8............-3..........Move back 1.
27.....12.....8.....W..........+6............+3....
7.....11.....9.....L..........-4............-1..........Move up 1.
20.....12.....8.....W..........+6............+5..........Move back 1.
33.....13.....7.....W..........+4............+9.....
16.....12.....8.....L..........-2............+7..........Move up 1.
21.....13.....7.....W..........+4............+11..........Move back 1.
26.....14.....6.....W..........+2............+13.....Back to 1.

There is a loss limit of -91 before the unit size is increased and a target goal of 75% of the previous high balance (or previous LOW on previous level) before the unit size is decreased.  If the highest score switches EC, our bets switch with it.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2017, 08:04:55 PM by Reyth »
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Modifed Pendulum EC System
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2017, 01:30:02 PM »

In your introduction you write a progression of 2 units. (1 2 4 6 8 10 12 etc.)
In your example  you increase and decrease the former bet with one unit.
The first bet is 10 on high and low. Every spin has a bet of 20 units.
Basically it is a 18 number bet. DTOP predict a permanent loss above 120 spins. When zero falls there is not a profit but a loss of 20 units. This has a enormous influence on the final result.

My first thought was, profit and loss keep each other in balance. Zero disturb this expectation.


 
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Reyth

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Re: Modifed Pendulum EC System
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2017, 02:13:36 PM »
The amount bet is based on the progression in my introduction.  You can see the amount I bet in the "SUB" column:

1,2,1,1,2,4,6,8,6,4,6,4,2,4,2

The columns "H" and "L" show the SCORE for High and Low which determines the trend; the highest score is the hottest EC.

This is a MODIFIED Pendulum system.  I have modified the progression, the bet selection and I have added a Recovery Tier.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Modifed Pendulum EC System
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2017, 10:25:35 PM »
your introduction is not kristal clear. Each EC start with 10. I thought, it are the placed units. The H and L and w/l columns are redundant. I miss the important bet and pay column. Your description is too poor to understand.

The Excel program shows step by step what happens every spin. W/L colomns are useless. Much better is a numeric code, for example a hit is 1 and a loss is 2
 
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