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Author Topic: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?  (Read 2507 times)

Reyth

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #30 on: February 20, 2017, 02:42:51 AM »
 
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dobbelsteen

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #31 on: February 20, 2017, 10:52:35 AM »
Philip Koetsch did not know the theory of the short and long events. Long run test are useless. Long run rows can broaden your knowledge about random sequenses. From long run sequences you can learn more about the features.
Important is the definition of the short run. See my explanation of the DTOP.
Start a session always after a virtual loss and run after a hit.
Short run sessions with a proven strategy can beat the roulette. When this is true,such sessions are together not a long run session.
 
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Jesper

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #32 on: February 20, 2017, 11:29:49 AM »
It looks like a fikapause will save us!!!!!! ::)
 

Rinad

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #33 on: February 20, 2017, 01:54:45 PM »
Philip Koetsch did not know the theory of the short and long events. Long run test are useless. Long run rows can broaden your knowledge about random sequenses. From long run sequences you can learn more about the features.
Important is the definition of the short run. See my explanation of the DTOP.
Start a session always after a virtual loss and run after a hit.
Short run sessions with a proven strategy can beat the roulette. When this is true,such sessions are together not a long run session

starting a session after a virtual loss is key. and so as stoping after a win.  it is hard for some to grab the concept that the odds of winning are not only alive at a table in particular but are not tangible matter.
great comment.
« Last Edit: February 20, 2017, 07:08:54 PM by Reyth »
 

Reyth

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #34 on: February 20, 2017, 07:13:53 PM »
[LOSS=STATISTICAL EXTREMITY]
[WIN=RELEASE OF STATISTICAL EXTREMITY]

A) As long as we only bet during times of statistical extremity (done right), there is no such thing as a long run or short run; we are betting in the worst times of the long run.

B) Alternatively, if one can handle any expected statistical extremity, should it arise, this also makes the concept of long run or short run meaningless; the worst long run features are survived until statistical normaility is restored and profit is regained.

Since I cannot do the latter (I think its possible though), I must do the former.
« Last Edit: February 20, 2017, 07:33:11 PM by Reyth »
 
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Rinad

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #35 on: February 21, 2017, 12:00:47 AM »


 I have read in the forum a lot of your hard work done with the single number method. and have done so much of it myself.  I normaly dont play sleepers exept this morning I had encounter at the roulette machine the fact that number 7 had not yet showed up in 300 spins. being tempted, I begin playing it with a 5$ bet. it took another 60 spins before it finaly hit. made my money back plus a extra 100 $.

but I would of been better off playing what I normally play, which is a hot number, preferably if it hit 3 times.
so playing the extreme is extreme and very stressfull to me. I played that way for years.
I do 10 times better getting the dragon by the head,instead of the tail.
and i fully anderstand probabilities and why from a math standpoint, many players rather play the tail of the dragon, the extreme case. and at certain times it is worth doing. but I know from experience that playing short sessions,(exept this morning), as I normally do, is creating a better short run and long run data for the game. I was just reminded this morning why years ago I gave up playing sleepers and switched to the favorites. so many opportunities I missed by sticking to that ghost number. even know it took only 60 spins from the time I started playing it to the time I did hit it. it felt like old time, waiting,waiting, and waiting. nice chat.
 
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Rinad

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #36 on: February 21, 2017, 12:15:29 AM »
Philip Koetsch did not know the theory of the short and long events. Long run test are useless. Long run rows can broaden your knowledge about random sequenses. From long run sequences you can learn more about the features.
Important is the definition of the short run. See my explanation of the DTOP.
Start a session always after a virtual loss and run after a hit.
Short run sessions with a proven strategy can beat the roulette. When this is true,such sessions are together not a long run session

where do I find DTOP ??? thanks

also I am new at the forum. is there a place where all abbreviations are explained? if someone could tell me. thanks.
« Last Edit: February 21, 2017, 01:17:23 AM by Reyth »
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Does A Series Of Short Sessions Combine To Make A Long Series?
« Reply #37 on: February 21, 2017, 09:41:20 AM »
I play on landbased and online roulette for about 40 years. Since we have personal computers , I simulate the roulette and design systems and strategies. The first PC was the commodor 64.With my study about random sequences I developed the features of the sequences. The maths are also very useful to understand these features. I have discovered the difference between short and long run rows. There is a relation between short and long run with the largeness of the number bet.
The changeover is the D(obbelsteen)T(urn)O(ver)Point. From this point the result of a system is negative. It is not an exact figure. The DTOP of a 37number bet is 1 spin and the DTOP for a 1 number bet is over the milion spins. For the dozens or a 12 number bet the DTOP is about 150 spins.

The most unknown feature is, that the roulette has only 37 possible odds. The table layout has 157 different possibilities to place your chips. A corner is a 4 number bet , a split is a 2 number bet. A mixed bet is a number bet  equal to the covered numbers

In my blog you can find much more about my theory.