Author Topic: Dobbelsteen`Blog  (Read 69395 times)

Real

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #30 on: December 16, 2014, 12:05:50 AM »
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Real you have never explained your EDGE. You are not the only AP player who claims an EDGE. How can an AP player ascertain his edge.

Simple, using physics.  Whether it's using physics, or playing on a biased wheel, the player is exploiting inefficiencies in the wheel, not the game or layout. 

In VB the player is taking into account the speed and position of the rotor in relation to the decaying ball on the track in order to make a prediction as to what number will be below the dominant ball drop at the end of the spin.  This enables the player to hit more frequently than what normal probability would dictate, and enables the player to overcome the house edge.

With bias, the player is again exploiting the wheel, not the game.  The player plays on numbers that hit more frequently than they should because of physical problems that exist on the wheel.  Such as, poor wheel assembly or wear and tear.  Because the ball will hit these biased pockets more frequently, the player is again able to overcome the house edge.  Such biases are observed, measured, and tested by using tests such as coefficient of restitution testing and data collection, as well as acoustic and visual observations.

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You have never the courage to research my program. I have never claimed my program is a HG

Why do you feel that you're program enables  someone to win in the long run???

Best of luck,

-Real
 

ahraneas

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #31 on: December 16, 2014, 12:27:59 AM »
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Wheel watching and AP are not systems. These methods have also a negative profit percentage. -dobbelsteen 

No they do have an edge.  That's why we call them "advantage play".
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My Martingale system has an expectation that an event will not occurs on 2^20 spins with a risk to lose of 1023 units. There is never a waiting time for an opportunity to bet.You have never taken the troubles to research the program. -dobbelsteen


Sorry dobbelsteen, but you have never taken the time to fully study the math.  Your Martingale will not work, for the reasons that have already been stated by countless mathematicians time and time and time again. 


-Real 

I do not gonna join a discussion with no ending. It's like people bragging about which one of Apple OR Windows is better, has no use. It's all about preferences.

I do have something to say:

1. You either go to the casino for the fun as a reason. A casino isn't a restaurant, or a cafe / pub. A casino is very very luxurious mostly, and you must see yourself as a very special guest to those who own the casino. They become rich with YOU as a customer, so you can and must expect FULL services and FULL customer satisfaction!
2. Or for the reason of a (big) win, the reason is to make money, and to beat the casino. Often this is an abusive manner of play for SOME people. They don't know boundary's.

Okay, now i said (wrote duh!), what i wanted, but i consider another party in play if it concerns casino customers. In my casino years (which are only 2 years), i have seen many different kinda customers. I have been in four casino's. Most of the times i have been heading to a cheaper version casino with low bets on roulette (20 cent per bet). I noticed that this 1 casino had ALWAYS young customers. But this casino was filthy, and badly employed. Also they didnt had an alcohol license, so they had to attract customers via free food and non-alcoholic drinks. The quality was much lower. I guess this casino attracted more addicted gamblers, and also lower educated people (hence it's laying close to bigger city's with wider variety poor/welfare-people). But now i finally come to my point haaa! I do know Dobbelsteen from e-mail conversation, and we have met around 4 times in the same casino. This is The Netherlands / Holland's, only 'real' casino who is prohibit to deliver a service with gambling AND alcohol. They are the MAIN company to our country that kinda is offering this. I have been in this casino ONLY this year, 26 times.

Bottomline of this exhausting story; I have seen them gamble on many days, and many different moments in different casino's, and Dobbelsteen is not the kinda 'abusive' player. I do not consider him and myself as addicted gamblers. And i must say that i cannot be 100% certain about what i say about Dobbelsteen. But i think he's an highly educated person. I know about his job history and school history, and this is above average (which isn't normally the case for casino customers). I have studied his methods (which he sant in an excel document via mail). I have studied this via self read, and i have studied this with 2 friends of mine both FAR ABOVE average educated. And we simply really do come to the conclusion, that this technique works...

I only try to say: Study the method first, and become sceptic atleast after you studied it. When i met Dobbelsteen first time, i thought it was a big load of crap (haha sorry Dobbel!). But it isn't really the case, and even although it would be a load of crap (it isn't but i am just saying), i MYSELF visit the casino because my relationship ended 6 years ago, and i simply never fully recovered from a few nasty private things in my life. I allow myself to go to the casino to kill some hours with a nice car trip, and a nice evening. Sometimes i only go with 10 euro. There's basically just people that go there for fun man. And in the casino where Dobbelsteen and me usually come, there's alot of older people. I think people just don't always wanna be alone.

That's how the casino's are around Amsterdam in Holland. It should lose it's negative vibe. I do not drink and i dont smoke, still i do not complaint about people who do. You understand? It's a long debate, and i spilled too many words! Good night everyone!

~*Ahra.

EDIT: I like to add that we have ran 700 times, 130 wheel-spins. 700 those are the casino visits. And per visit we simulated 130 wheel spins. They spin each 2 minutes to 2,5 minutes when it's busy in the casino. When it is not busy and just opened once they spin each minute. Still we had profit, and a max lose (so we could determine whether this was profitable).
« Last Edit: December 16, 2014, 12:50:04 AM by ahraneas »
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #32 on: December 18, 2014, 10:46:26 PM »
Understand the roulette wheel: 10 secrets revealed.

In this assay the differences between the American wheel and the France wheel are described. The explanation is very clear. For the more interested roulette player, who plays in a land based casino, it is a must to read this paper.

The designs of the wheels should have an emanation of a fair game. The distribution of the numbers around the circumference is one part  of that strive. Especially the France roulette has particular features. They are described very well.

By studying the American wheel  I discovered an unknown and not mentioned particular. The circumference is divided in two halves by the zero and the double zero. In the clockwise direction you can compute the opposite numbers with the following algorithm.
   -1+1-1-1+1+1-1-1+1+1-1-1+1+1-1-1+1+1

   0—28-9—26-30-  11-  7—20-32- 17-  5— 22-34- 15-  3—24-36-13-  1
      -1  +1   -1  -1  +1 +1   -1  -1  +1  +1   -1  -1  +1 +1   -1  -1 +1 +1
 00-27-10--25-29-  12- 8— 19-31- 18-  6— 21-33- 16-  4-  23-35-14-  2

The right halve contents all even high numbers and the left halve all odd low numbers.
The AR has copied the colors red and black from the France roulette. By doing this the table layout of the AR and the FR are the same except the double zero. A red number is followed with a black one. If you give the low  and high numbers also a color, then you become the same phenomenon. This is not the case with the even and odd numbers.

The hot question, has the distribution  of the numbers an influence on the randomness of the occurrences ?
The answer is no!!

IF you concrete the consecutive pockets the 0  to 36, the random sequence has exactly the same features. This is perhaps very disappointed for the roulette system designers. It is very easy to transform an ER random sequence in an AR random sequence. The real roulette wheels are true Random Number Generators.

The shape of the pockets has also no influence on the results.
« Last Edit: December 24, 2014, 10:29:56 PM by kav »
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #33 on: December 24, 2014, 10:31:36 AM »
I wish all my fellow roulette players a Merry Christmas and a Happy successful year.
 

ahraneas

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #34 on: December 24, 2014, 11:34:53 AM »
Everyone indeed a very nice christmas, and a very happy new year!

Yesterday i was in the casino, en there i met Dobbelsteen. We have had a very nice evening with a very good chat concerning the roulette tactics. I was placing my bets the same way Dobbelsteen did, and i already had some losses. But when i followed Dobbelsteen's example, i slowly got back to a positive result. I really enjoyed the time we had in the casino, and i got back home with only 13 euro loss. If i wouldnt have followed Dobbelsteen's example, i wouldve gone home with atleast 40 euro loss. The loss i gain, was my own mistake, but i am starting to get the hang of it while following Dobbelsteen's lead.

It was a very nice evening and i like to thank him here for that. I hope we all will book successes in our games in the casino!

Merry christmas!
 

kav

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #35 on: December 24, 2014, 10:30:29 PM »
My best wishes my friends!
 

ahraneas

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #36 on: December 28, 2014, 02:17:03 AM »
This week i have some funds again to drop on the roulette wheel. As i am alone with the holiday's for four consecutive years, i probably seek the nice times in the casino. Thanks Kav for your kind words! Have you booked any successes lately with roulette? How did you placed the bets?

Did you had a nice christmas with family Dobbelsteen? Good night everyone :)!

~*Ahra
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #37 on: December 30, 2014, 02:25:58 PM »
For lovers of sector playing, I have developed an alternative for the France sectors. I divide the circumference of the FR in a right end a left halve.
The distribution of the figures on the France roulette makes it possible to create a system and a strategy using the roulette wheel layout  and the table layout.
The right halve (Rh) with the figures 32-10 and a left halve (Lh) 26-5.
The Rh contains the red high numbers and the black low numbers.
The Lh contains the red low numbers and the black high numbers.

The roulette as a true RNG creates for the Rh and Lh a true random sequence. This sequence has exactly the same features as the random sequences of the R/B and L/H  chances. All strategies of the ECs are also suitable for the Rh/Lh sequence.
The diagrams show the results of a 150 and a 50 spin sample. After about 100 spins the long run theory starts.
[/img]For lovers of sector playing, I have developed an alternative for the France sectors. I divide the circumference of the
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #38 on: December 30, 2014, 02:35:31 PM »
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #39 on: December 30, 2014, 02:39:34 PM »
This was the first try to put a image onthe blog.
Not every thing does right. Thanks AHRA.
 

Real

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #40 on: December 30, 2014, 06:01:31 PM »
I don't see the point in graphing the ECs.  It's a waste of time.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #41 on: December 31, 2014, 12:44:31 PM »
I think you are blind for diagrams. At other places on this forum I have published the diagrams of High\Low. Study all these diagrams and you shall discover the the features they have in common. Study interested cases is never waist of time.
 

Real

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #42 on: December 31, 2014, 05:07:33 PM »
Dobbelsteen,

I don't know why you seem to get so excited by it.  Perhaps you can explain why.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #43 on: January 04, 2015, 04:23:11 PM »
The most players base their odds on a particular expectation. These expectations are normally anomalies of the statistic expectation or an event that occurs once on a large number of spins.
Every  roulette sequence is one of all random sequences. There are no unbelievable sequences.
 Is your method or strategy based on these features, it is important to learn these features by heart. Every chance has his own features and I have tried to make some tables of them.

First the table for the ECs

  Feature      0 rep.     1x       2x     3x     4x      5x       6x
  spins          1            2        4       8      16      32       64

 A 6 spins sequence of Red/Black has the same chance as a 6repeater in the color.
The optimist says this happens once in on 64 spins ,the pessimist says your chance on a hit is 48.6%.
The next table is for the dozens and columns.

feature      0 rep.      1x     2x       3x        4x       5x        6x
spins         1             3       9         27       81       243      729

After a 4 dozen repeater I always bet the other 2 dozens.

For the double street follows the next table.

feature       0 rep.    1x       2x       3x        4x
spins          6           36      216      1296    7776

For the streets I found.

feature        0 rep       1x         2x           3x       
spins           12           144       1728       20736

In small samples the zero has very less influence.

In my strategy an anomaly of three times the statistic expectation is a signal to start betting. Sometimes there are two signals. For example  dozen 1 has not fallen in 9 spins and the low numbers have not fallen in the last 6 spins. Is there also an unbalance for red, then square 7/11 is a hot spot!!
« Last Edit: January 04, 2015, 04:48:32 PM by dobbelsteen »
 

ahraneas

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #44 on: January 06, 2015, 09:29:01 PM »
Hey Dobbel and Real,

@ Dobbel; if you need any help just ask i will always try what i can do.

I just was in the casino, played some roulette. Can't say much about the tactics. I was just trying some things, and i did some bets a friend placed. Ended up with what you see on the photo. I started with 30 euro. I got 20 from that friend, so basically my own investment was only 10 euro.

Nice run! @ Dobbel; i hope to see you soon in the casino. Maybe we should meet via mail if you want?

~*Ahra.

« Last Edit: January 06, 2015, 09:30:44 PM by ahraneas »