We can win and we can lose! That just the gambling World!
Every time we try to estimate our chances winning
We use to come up with a loss according to the odds.
The question is does it matter at all which way we
Long tests seems to show, it does not. Play one number
for very long or use random choice, show no difference.
How about a session, which is far from the long run.
Do it help cutting the longer play into shorter, and
look at it as completely independent events.
The funny is all math says we can not, and still
it is said every spin is independent.
For all practical use, I think we must see first
every spin is unpredictable, a stream of spins has
some properties. We are not able to know much from it
before we start the play, or even during. That
is most of the time an Apophenian conclusion
One thing we can notice is all the numbers fall near at the same frequents
This is almost sure for long series, but almost sure it will be uneven
In a shorter series. "Just the best guess"!
We can using progressions somewhat increase the chance for a win, at a
price it may be a heavy loss at a unknown future.
When are we winning? When we stop the game for a day, we use to stop on a decent plus if possible.
Is the end of a month or year we should use?
We can get a double bankroll with about 48% probability, just throw it all on an EC.
Knowing that, it is of no use (other than the fun) to play any method which do not
have a better chance than a spin on one EC doubling the bank.
I am using bolder positive progressions, and do have better than 50% double the bankroll.
I can not tell why, it is probably just a fluke.
I have "countless" of spins used one straight up, starting with the minimum bet, which is 1 or 5 cents, depending of table.
Bold positive progression.
Most of the time it is not any larger downdraw, but it happens, and have returned to plus at the end.
My worse case was 42 Euro left of 1067, and went to 2000 in a few spins (see pic). This is a kind of proof, "it will not work in the long run"
I was lucky, because I do not think I should be possible or at least near impossible to handle a losing streak at that stage.
Before that heavy play my plus was just 4 Euros and a few short sessions. The (GF) thinking is if a number sleeps long
It may hit more often later, and we keep the bet until a hit. It may be true, but for which sample length? I have seen 1000 plus sleep of a number, I was lucky
It was 3 cent a bet at that stage, and yes it start hitting.
Another play which is on EC, I use positive progressions, the length is according to the balance, I use a grand martingale on a win.
This has up to now never bust. It can take (painful) long time and never wins much. I play it on zero wheel as a session on nozero has time limit.
So despite the unfair odds, it has up to now at the end been a winning streak to recover the worse downdrawn.
The casino allows 1 to 200000 on an EC. I have had near 5000 as the highest recover bet just once.
It needs 1000:s of spins without a winning streak of 6-8 spins, to get a downdrown, hard to recover.
A positive progression do not use "the best guess", it use a statistical occurrence of rather rare situations, as
we can "expect" a run in time.
I think I can still make some good winnings, but it may if I am not careful occur a RFH witch will be expency.
"Winning methods" use to have this properties, some wins for years, and ends terrible. Even experienced players use to
blame the casino as "rigged" then. One famous profile in many roulettfora won "How much he want" but accused on a German
Forum the casino was "rigged", "as 90 sleeps on a DS was impossible" (I have seen it). The method was similar to mine, expect a negative
progression was used.
We can win if we include, a time in future we just not care or not live long to see.