Royal Panda roulette

Author Topic: Irregular Distribution  (Read 965 times)

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Sputnik

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Re: Irregular Distribution
« Reply #15 on: March 10, 2017, 06:05:50 PM »

From my perspective i would recommend you to stop and turnaround and find another way.

Cheers
 
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Re: Irregular Distribution
« Reply #16 on: March 10, 2017, 11:58:47 PM »
Okay, first let me clarify my position. I have no intention of using this strategy for real money.  I am not claiming I can beat roulette doing this. I understand that the ZERO will put this in the houses favor and I will lose long term. That is obvious, so there's no need to suggest I try a different strategy. I get it.

I am interested in the MATH part which disproves that Red/Odd does not have any more advantage over Red/Even. That’s all.

I am simply confused about the Red/Even and Red/Odd distribution, because according to a couple of posts in this thread, betting on ONE has a higher probability of winning than betting on the OTHER.

Example #1:
JUICE, in reply #6, wrote that betting on Red/Even has a HIGHER chance of hitting than betting on Red/Odd.

Example #2:
Scepticus wrote out the probabilities within 37 spins. He wrote that Red/Odd has a HIGHER chance of winning (10 out of 37) compared to Red/Even (8 out of 37 chance of winning)

Juice is saying the OPPOSITE of Scepticus. So, I'm not the only one who is confused :-) But, for the sake of argument, I am assuming that Scepticus is correct, since there are 2 more numbers in the Red/Odd category.

In any case, my question is the following.

If Red/Odd has a HIGHER chance of WINNING within 37 spins (compared to Red/Even), does this not mean that, on average, Red/Odd will win MORE times than Red/Even, in a 37 spin of the roulette wheel? Specifically, 2 more times?

Yes or No? (I understand both Juice and Scepticus confirming the answer is YES. Correct?)

If the answer is No, why not?

I am so confused  :-)

And Dane, thanks for your advice on leaving if I don't win BOTH bets at the same time. In other words, if the first bet WINS, then PARLAY the 2nd bet. If the 2nd bet is a PUSH then take the Parlay bet down, do not keep it up.
« Last Edit: March 11, 2017, 12:08:59 AM by TERMINATOR »
 
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juice

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Re: Irregular Distribution
« Reply #17 on: March 11, 2017, 03:42:04 AM »
Terminator, sorry for the confusion, my answers were based on the trifecta, and I was just pointing out the detriment of any parlay on a narrow winning slot. As for your technical question, I'm not the guy to answer that one, but if I had to guess, I would say yes, there is an edge in the dominant condition .  Peace, juice
 
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dobbelsteen

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Re: Irregular Distribution
« Reply #18 on: March 11, 2017, 02:08:01 PM »
on my blog I have made an analysis for RED/EVEN. For members who are familiar with Excel the program is available. The graphs give a good idea of the weakness of the system. Only with a strategy it can be succesful.
 
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Re: Irregular Distribution
« Reply #19 on: March 11, 2017, 04:00:06 PM »
dobbelsteen, I would LOVE to see that analysis in Excel. Could you kindly PM me and send me the link to your Blog? Thanks!

Thanks Juice. Yes, I realize it was for the Trifecta. But, if the "H/L" is removed from the trifecta, leaving just a double bet, I agree with your last statement that it does seem there is an edge in the Dominant category (Red/Odd).

It seems dobbelsteen can clear this matter for me. Because if there IS an edge, it seems we might be able to use this to our advantage SOMEHOW.
 
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