Author Topic: RTM  (Read 19501 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Reyth

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3968
  • Thanked: 1278 times
Re: RTM
« Reply #75 on: June 13, 2015, 08:50:04 PM »
Losing runs cant continue indefinitely (which most of us know) as Real claims and Reyth proved it here. 

I have been thinking about your comment.  The amazing thing is not that they CAN'T continue indefinitely (because they can!) but that they DON'T.

Now THAT is the amazing thing about the law of equal distribution!
« Last Edit: June 13, 2015, 08:57:32 PM by Reyth »
 

Real

  • Fighting the war on absurdity one foolish idea at a time.
  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 1416
  • Thanked: 211 times
  • Gender: Male
Re: RTM
« Reply #76 on: June 13, 2015, 08:54:21 PM »
Quote
The amazing thing is not that they CAN'T continue indefinitely but that they DON'T.

No, actually they can.  You're simply not understanding how basic probability works.

The best way to explain it to you in a way that you will understand is with an example:

The probability of seeing any number hit back to back is 1 in 37
If you wait for a number to hit two times in a row, then the probabiltiy that it will hit a third time is 1 in 37. 

If you wait for a number to hit three times in a row, then the probability that it will hit a forth time is 1 in 37.
If you wait for a number to hit four times in a row, then the probability that it will hit a fifth time is 1 in 37.
If you were to wait around for a really long long time for a number to hit five times in a row, then the probability that it will hit for a sixth time is.......again 1 in 37.

The reason that you don't often see five in a row is because there are more ways for the number NOT to hit five times in a row. Understand?

No matter how many spins or occurrences you wait for, there probability of the next occurrence remains constant.
« Last Edit: June 13, 2015, 08:57:41 PM by Real »