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Author Topic: Dobbelsteen`Blog  (Read 102563 times)

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dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #60 on: January 27, 2015, 10:52:08 AM »
The martingale systems of the ECs has a particular feature.
The sum of the profit is a nearly linear oblique line with the equation sum profit=7/15 *number of spins.
Within a small deviation you can predict the result of large samples. For example a 1500 spin sample, you can expect a profit of  about 700 units.
You can find the explanation in the features of the random sequence of the ECs.
 

john518

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #61 on: January 28, 2015, 12:44:16 AM »
Dobbelsteen,

It seems that you study the roulette by using the excel software extensively.
Have you ever tried your methods using real money in real casino roulette games?
If yes, what are the results?
Theory is one thing, and reality may be a different thing.

Thanks, John
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #62 on: January 28, 2015, 03:23:09 PM »
My house casino is on walk distance. I visit the casino 3 6 times aweek. I play only the roulette with my strategy and skill. I have no Holy Grail and  I have also my bad days. Overall I am succsessfull but I shall never become a millionair. A realastic profit is about 1% to 2%  of all the bets on a FR.
 

john518

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #63 on: February 01, 2015, 02:02:05 AM »
My house casino is on walk distance. I visit the casino 3 6 times aweek. I play only the roulette with my strategy and skill. I have no Holy Grail and  I have also my bad days. Overall I am succsessfull but I shall never become a millionair. A realastic profit is about 1% to 2%  of all the bets on a FR.

Hi Dobbelsteen,
"A realistic profit is about 1-2% of all bets" is GOOD enough to make yourself a millionaire!
Imagine this: let's say your profit rate is 1.5%, and all you need is a bankroll of 10K.
Therefore, you play this way and make about 1500 everyday.
After 1 year, you will make about 55K
After 2 years, you will make about 1.1M
2 years to make a millionaire is very very good, agree?
Would you like to give this a try? :)
John
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #64 on: February 01, 2015, 10:58:04 PM »
John your calculation is too simple. I do all my studies with units and not with money. In descriptions of UK and US players  pounds and dollars are often used.

This afternoon I played roulette on three tables during a hour. I won 50 units and that is a very good result. Should this be 1% , then I had bet about 5000 units. I started with a bankroll of 100 euros.

The zero
Many players hate the zero. The zero is the bad figure of the roulette. This is not true. The HE is the bad guy. Every number included the zero have the same HE. The  odd 0-12-13-19-1-32-14-26-36-17-24-5 has the same HE as a dozen or a column. For these odds the HE is 2.7%. The HE for every number is 2.7%.
The table layout has 157 different chances. Only the ECs have a HE of 1.35%.
From this point of view the zero gives a big advantage and is not the bad guy.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #65 on: February 06, 2015, 12:39:52 PM »
Long run money management.

Roulette gaming for pleasure can be a hobby. A hobby may cost some money. Suppose you can afford 300 euro a month.You have the intension to visit the casino once in a week. One euro is one unit or credit. With a good strategy , patience and discipline it should be possible to make every session a profit of 25 credits.
At the end of the month your balance is 400 euro and after 3 month 1200 euro.

Now you decide to increase your odds and double the input. Under the same circumstances it should be possible to win every session 50 euros. Your balance increases every month with 500 euros. After a half year your gaming capital  amounts 2700  euro.
At this moment you have a lot of experience and skill. Be very careful and do not become too greedy. Be not disappointed after a bad session.

Limit the risk of every session.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #66 on: February 07, 2015, 10:47:46 AM »
Is it possible to win 25 units with a strategy?
Yesterday I visited my casino for a short  tea lounge session.
It was not very busy. Two tables were active. Place enough  and I could take two terminals. Special for the forum I have noted the inputs and the payouts   and here is the result.



 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #67 on: February 08, 2015, 01:46:38 PM »
Perhaps you are curious how the bets were divided on the table layout.

I shall explain the most bets.

Bet 2 or 4 or 8 on the ECs.
Bet 2 or  6 or 9 0n the dozen or the columns.
Bet 8  6 credits on low or high and 2 on the DS  19/24 or DS 13/18.
Bet 10  5 credits on two dozens or two columns.
bet 20  12 credits on low or high and 6 credits on dozen 3 or 1.
Bet 20  12 credits on low or high end 2 credits on 2 DSs.
bet 30  18 credits on low or high and 6 credits on  two DSs.
Bet 41 double bet 20 and one credit zero.
A bet after a double trigger is more complicated and much more difficult to explain. For example the bet two credits on DS 1/6 ,two credits on corner 1/11  and 6 credits on high.
This number of betting patrons is not completed.
All these patrons are part of my strategy. You need a lot of experience to use all these patrons
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #68 on: February 10, 2015, 10:31:06 AM »




The session yesterday afternoon was very successfull. As usual I played on two terminals.
The permanence of the input shos mostly the bets 10 20 30 40.  That are odds of the strategy of the dices.
the profit percentage is 20%. In consequence of the no hits and the zero the profit will decrease. On both tables I started with 100 credits.

With these reports of these sessions I try to convinch you that successfull roulette gaming is possble.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #69 on: February 20, 2015, 10:09:54 AM »
Via my e mail rouletteplayersclub@hotmail.nl I received some requests for an explanation of the game of the dices. In some steps I will comply  to these requests.
At the first place you should understand the random sequence of a dice. With an excel program we can analyze the sequence and learn the statistic features. The features of a short  and large sample are not the same. A player plays always a short session. That is the reason I shall make an analyze of a 200 spins sample
A strategy uses statistic signals or triggers. These triggers are for all the random sequences in general the same.
What do we want to know about the sequence?
1. How many times the separate sites of the dice fall.
2. How many spins a site does not fall.
3. The largest deviation between the permanence %%
4. How many times repeats a site 1x, 2x, 3x, 4x or more.
The first analyze concerns the research of the numbers of the different sites of the dices has fallen. The statistic expectation is once on six spins. For my sample of 200 spins it amounts 33 or 16,2%.



Particular the anomalies of the percentages of small sample can be large. The statistic feature will drive the anomalies to the statistic expectation.
For a better impression this is a table of 10 200 spins samples. The smallest anomaly  amounts 8 number and the largest anomaly amounts 11



 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #70 on: February 23, 2015, 03:42:51 PM »


The results of a 60 spins sample is nearly the same. The expected number of the outcome of the sides amounts 10 and the percentage 15,5%. See the diagram

 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #71 on: February 23, 2015, 03:51:27 PM »
In this diagram I show the outcomes of all the sides and the average. There where a line crosses the average line the outcome has the expected value .The values on the left side are too high and on the right side too low. An anomaly of more than three outcomes are very interested.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #72 on: February 25, 2015, 02:22:04 PM »
The diagrams are made of one sample.
This is not enough to make conclusions. One click key F9 and the program computes a new sample. My conclusions are based on the study of a lot of samples. The program is available for members, who want to do some practice
.
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #73 on: February 27, 2015, 01:36:33 PM »
What is the relation of the analyze of the random sequence of the dices and the roulette?
Every six numbers has the value of one side of the dice. The table layout makes it possible to create more than one virtual dice.

 The first and most simple dice is DS 1/6 has the value 1, the DS 7/12 has the value  2, the DS 13/18 has the value 3 etc.

The second dice is a combination of two streets such as S7/9 and S19/21.

The third dice is a combination of six numbers in the columns. For example the numbers1-4-7-10-13-16 has the value 1 and the numbers 2-5-8-1-14-17 the value 2 etc.

Wagers.
1 A side of a dice has not fallen more than 15 spins.
2 Not one side of the dice has repeated in 15 spins.
3The number of outcomes of a side has a large anomaly with the statistic expectation.
4 A side has repeated twice or more.

The zero is neglisible for the short run sessions of the player
 

dobbelsteen

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Re: Dobbelsteen`Blog
« Reply #74 on: March 02, 2015, 01:48:37 PM »
Betting examples.Wager 1. The DS 13/18 is not fallen in 15 spins , bet 1-1-1-1-1-2-2-2-3-3 on 13/18.Wager 2. Bet 1-1-1-1-1-2-2-2-3-3 on the last DS.Wager 3. Bet flat one unit on the DS with an anomaly of 4  with a respect to the average.Wager 4. Bet 5 or 10 or 20 or 30 or 50 on the other 5 DS. Split the bet in 3units on low or high and the other 2 on the ds. Example 30 units on High and 10 units on DS 7/12 and DS13/18.This can be done in special cases also with a bet on the Streets. Example. 5 units on S 1/3, 5 units on S 7/9, 10 units DS 13/18 and 30 units on High. The trigger is 5-12-4. The advanced players use also more than one trigger but then the bets are more complex.The bets with High or Low have a HE of about 2.0 and the HE for all the other bets is 2.7
« Last Edit: March 02, 2015, 05:09:44 PM by kav »